CONSUMER INFLATION DATA
Indian bonds drift with oil; inflation data in focus
Indian government bonds exhibited limited movement today as oil prices showed signs of stabilization. Investors are remaining cautious, especially with inflation data from both the United States and India on the horizon. Scheduled for later today is a bond auction totaling 290.5 billion rupees. Analysts predict yields on the 10-year bond could oscillate between 7.30% and 7.10%, with particular attention on India's October inflation report due for release this Thursday.
Yuan holds firm against dollar as seasonal corporate selling offsets greenback strength
China's yuan remained stable against the US dollar as seasonal year-end dollar sales by exporters offset greenback strength following robust US jobs data. Beijing's efforts to manage currency appreciation, alongside foreign exchange reserve adjustments, supported stability. Meanwhile, inflation trends and subdued domestic demand continued influencing monetary policy and currency movements.
China, Hong Kong stocks edge higher as Beijing vows measures to stabilise markets
Chinese and Hong Kong stocks edged higher as Beijing renewed its commitment to stabilising capital markets amid economic concerns. Major mainland indices posted modest gains, while the Hang Seng also advanced. However, weak domestic demand, cooling consumer inflation and global technology-sector volatility continued to challenge investor confidence and market recovery prospects.
US stocks face volatile week as AI selloff, inflation data and tech earnings loom
US stocks face a volatile week as investors brace for October CPI inflation data and key tech earnings following a sharp AI-led selloff. Regulatory concerns post-US midterms, alongside Fed rate hike expectations, have pushed the Nasdaq into correction territory despite the S&P 500 maintaining gains for 2026.
Overall, India Inc credit profile looks healthy: Ramnath Krishnan, Icra Group CEO
Corporate India's credit profile has maintained strength following a period of deleveraging post-Covid, although external pressures exist. While rating upgrades continue to outnumber downgrades, specific sectors like chemicals and airlines face challenges. The potential for a drop in credit ratios exists, dependent on geopolitical factors and inflation rates. Companies remain hesitant to invest heavily amid uncertain consumer demand, leading to muted private sector capex.
Global Market Today: Asian stocks open mostly higher, Nvidia probe looms
Benchmark stock indexes rose in Japan and Australia after a gauge of US semiconductor shares jumped 4.2% on Friday as speculation about possible tighter Democratic party regulation of the artificial intelligence industry eased. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index of equities gained 0.5%.
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Gold price prediction: Gold rate to undergo volatile mode, claim experts, cite a few factors that will impact bullion movement
Gold rate prediction: Geopolitical developments in the Middle East, US-Iran war are expected to remain a major driver of precious metal prices.
Voters demanded economic relief. Trump and Democrats face tough choices on how to deliver
Voters have conveyed a clear message about the necessity of addressing inflation and economic issues. Both parties are preparing to respond to the economic challenges revealed by recent election outcomes. The Federal Reserve may gain independence to curtail inflation as Trump and Democrats grapple for control. Efforts to secure Social Security funding are urgent as benefits become jeopardized after 2032.
Nifty bulls reclaim 25,000 mark as FIIs step up India buying: 5 factors that will determine D-Street's fate next week
Indian equities rallied nearly 9% last week as the Nifty reclaimed 25,000 and the Sensex gained 8.82%. FIIs bought Rs 45,960 crore, while DIIs sold Rs 24,197 crore. Investors will track AI stocks, crude oil, geopolitical developments, US Treasury yields, India's October inflation data and Nifty technical levels in the coming week.
Charting the global economy: Job growth in US tops all forecasts
US employment rose significantly last month, with the jobless rate declining to 4.1%, indicating robust economic activity. Labor productivity increased sharply in the third quarter, reflecting business adaptation to rising costs and greater efficiency.
US treasury bond prices down on Friday, Yields on 10-year, 30-year, 2-year jump. Check latest rates
When US bond prices fall, yields rise. Despite Friday's jump, yields have steadily moved lower in recent weeks. For the week, the 10-year yield posted its fifth straight decline
Federal Reserve rate hike bets strengthen as US jobs growth beats estimates
Stronger than expected US jobs growth has revived expectations of a December Federal Reserve rate hike, with employers adding 165,000 jobs in October against estimates of 65,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, while markets raised the probability of a quarter point hike to 85% and brought forward expectations of another increase.
AI rout, energy costs add to fears of slowing global growth
Global markets face mounting pressure from persistent inflation, rising borrowing costs and concerns over slowing economic growth. Elevated energy and food prices are fuelling inflation fears, while an AI stock selloff threatens investor confidence. Weakening European data and uncertainty over the Iran war are adding to concerns about the global economic outlook.
India's October consumer inflation likely nears top of RBI target on food costs: Reuters poll
India's consumer inflation is projected to rise in October, mainly driven by significant increases in food prices. Economists expect food inflation to reach 8.20%, reflecting ongoing market pressures. Rising global food prices and higher input costs contribute to the inflationary environment. The Reserve Bank of India anticipates inflation to average 5.2% for the current financial year. A rate hike is likely to occur in the central bank's upcoming policy meeting.
Diwali shopping gets costlier this year: From milk, ghee, butter to dry fruits, here's why festive buying is burning a hole in your pocket
Milk and ghee prices: Rising costs of key ingredients are affecting both consumers and manufacturers during this Diwali season. Dairy prices have seen significant increases, with major brands raising their rates amid high demand. Additionally, dry fruit prices have surged, reaching record highs over the past year. Corporate gifting has also become more expensive, forcing companies to reduce their gift quantities or opt for smaller packages.
Dhanteras gold, silver sales may rise 10% despite buyers opting for lighter jewellery: AIJGF
Sales of gold and silver jewellery for Dhanteras are expected to rise approximately 10% this year. The All India Jewellers and Goldsmith Federation predicts a sales figure of around Rs 66,000 crore. Consumers are opting for lighter jewellery due to elevated prices while managing their budgets. Despite the increase in value, total quantities sold may remain below last year’s levels.
Bank of England hikes rates to 4%, first raise since 2023, says more may come amid high UK inflation
In a decisive move, the Bank of England has escalated interest rates to 4% amidst spiraling inflation, projected to hit 4.8% in Q2 next year. Governor Andrew Bailey cautioned that further hikes may be necessary, especially with ongoing global conflicts. Market reactions were notably favorable, with the British pound gaining strength against the US dollar. Enhancements in economic data have prompted economists to revise growth forecasts upwards.
Big FMCG companies outgrow market as smaller rivals get squeezed by costs and slowing rural demand
India's fast-moving consumer goods sector has experienced a slowdown in volume growth amid rising costs. Rural demand has weakened, impacting smaller regional manufacturers while larger companies thrive. Hindustan Unilever, Marico, and other major firms reported robust growth figures. Smaller players are particularly vulnerable due to their limited capacity to manage current challenges.
Bank of England raises rates for first time since 2023, says more may come
British inflation is likely to reach around 5% in the middle of next year, the BoE said, more than double the central bank's target and a blow for new Prime Minister Andy Burnham who has sought to ease of cost of living pressures.
Midterm results may slow US visa curbs, but no quick relief likely for IT
The opposition party’s takeover of both chambers of US Congress is expected to bring greater scrutiny of the administration’s policy decisions, potentially slowing further restrictions, industry experts told ET. However, any improvement in sentiment is unlikely to translate quickly into higher hiring or technology spending.
New orders & robust demand lift India's October services growth to 4-month high
Growth in India's services sector increased to a four-month high in October due to strong domestic demand and business orders. The HSBC Services Business Activity Index rose to 55.8, reflecting improved business conditions. Conversely, manufacturing activity showed a slight decline, easing to a PMI of 54.7. While input prices continued to rise, the rate of increase was the slowest in over six years.
Apple becomes world’s most valuable company with $5.1 trillion market cap as AAPL stock today hits record high after Democrats win midterm elections
Apple stock price surged more than 6% to a record high on Wednesday, lifting its market capitalization to $5.1 trillion and making it the world’s most valuable company. The rally followed Democrats’ midterm election victories and came after Apple reported stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue and earnings.
Taco Bell sales fall more than expected on cyclosporiasis outbreak hit
Yum Brands faced a setback in the third quarter as Taco Bell reported declining sales, primarily due to a cyclosporiasis outbreak that sparked customer concerns. While the outbreak severely impacted customer traffic, there was a notable recovery in sales during September and October. Although same-store sales remained flat, falling short of analysts' predictions, the company surpassed profit expectations, boosting investor trust in Yum Brands.
US manufacturing strengthens in October, input prices stay high
US manufacturing activity accelerated in October, with the ISM manufacturing PMI rising to 55.5 from 54.5 in September, beating Reuters-polled economists' expectations. Strong consumer and AI-related business spending supported growth, but factory input prices remained elevated at 75.2, reinforcing concerns that US inflation could stay above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
Gold lingers near one-year low as Fed hike expectations firm
Gold prices experienced a minor uptick in early trading across Asia; however, they linger near a one-year low. Persistent worries about inflation are bolstering expectations for an impending Federal Reserve rate increase this year. The recent drop in tech stocks has placed additional strain on bullion prices, prompting a sell-off in safe-haven investments. Buyers in major Asian markets, especially India and China, remain hesitant amid expectations of further price declines.
GST collections jump 22.9% to Rs 2.31 lakh crore in October as festive demand beats high inflation and interest rates
India's GST collections in October reached ₹2.31 lakh crore, reflecting a 22.9% year-on-year increase. Strong consumption trends are indicated by rising passenger car sales and record digital payments. Power consumption also surged nearly 22% compared to last year, further emphasizing economic strength. Despite a high inflation rate of 5.5%, demand has remained robust, supporting growth forecasts. Analysts suggest this growth aligns with leading indicators of a consumption-driven economy.
Mass brands give liquor companies a hangover
"It is difficult to pinpoint the reasons for the slowdown, even in states such as Uttar Pradesh which had recorded strong growth earlier," said Amar Sinha, managing director of Allied Blenders and Distillers (ABD), maker of Officer's Choice whisky. There are "no clear factors explaining the weakness," he said.
DA could reach 65% after recent retail inflation numbers are taken into account: Can it rise to 68% for January 2027?
DA hike: In September 2026, the Labour Bureau reported a rise in retail inflation to 155.4. This surge has resulted in a Dearness Allowance (DA) adjustment to 65%. Looking ahead, the projections for January 2027 are contingent on inflation trends. Should inflation vary, the DA might reach 67% or even 68%. The Finance Ministry will ultimately provide confirmation of the DA increase based on retail inflation parameters.
Global Market: Bank of Japan achieves 2% inflation target after 13 years
The Bank of Japan declared its long-standing 2% inflation target achieved after more than 13 years, but kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 1.25%. Persistent inflation, rising oil and semiconductor prices, and yen weakness have fuelled expectations of another rate hike in December as policymakers gradually tighten monetary policy.
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