CHINA GOLD RESERVES
UPI sees Diwali boom; AI cracks Captcha
Diwali spending fuelled a surge in UPI transactions, with both payment volumes and values rising. This and more in today’s ETtech Top 5.
Gold dips ahead of US inflation data
Gold prices edged lower in early Asian trade on Tuesday as investors awaited US inflation data later in the day for clues on the Federal Reserve's next policy move.
Mid and smallcap stocks could see strong gains in 2027, but expect volatility, says Deepak Shenoy, Capitalmind Mutual Fund
Deepak Shenoy anticipates a stronger rally for mid and smallcap stocks in 2027, marked by volatility. He forecasts earnings growth exceeding 20% in these segments, supporting potential gains. Valuations, however, will vary based on companies meeting growth expectations or not. Global political tensions and the AI sector's challenges may influence market dynamics. Shenoy emphasizes the unpredictability of market movements and shares insights on past predictions.
Gold, silver prices may sway with US-Iran tensions
As the US-Iran conflict and crude oil pricing remain in focus, bullion prices are set to encounter downward pressure. Key economic data releases from China, the US, Germany, Japan, and India will significantly impact inflation and interest rate expectations. Market watchers will be attentive to Federal Reserve remarks and US job market indicators for cues on trends.
Gold edges up as softer crude tempers inflation concerns
Gold prices edged higher on Monday as softer oil prices eased inflation concerns, though gains were capped by expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep US interest rates higher
Gold price prediction: Gold rate to undergo volatile mode, claim experts, cite a few factors that will impact bullion movement
Gold rate prediction: Geopolitical developments in the Middle East, US-Iran war are expected to remain a major driver of precious metal prices.
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ETMarkets Commodity Talk| Building a 5-year portfolio? Why gold could take the largest share of your commodity allocation, Deveya Gaglani decodes
In this edition of ETMarkets Commodity Talk, Deveya Gaglani, Senior Research Analyst – Commodities at Axis Direct, shares his views on the evolving commodity landscape and the role of gold, silver and industrial metals in a diversified portfolio. He also explains why gold could form the largest component of a long-term commodity allocation, while highlighting the risks of blindly buying the dip or chasing a sharp rally.

'Gold’s rally is not just about wars, it’s fundamentally linked to $40 tn US debt': WGC India CEO Sachin Jain
World Gold Council India CEO Sachin Jain said gold’s rally is driven by rising US debt, de-dollarisation and central bank purchases, rather than geopolitics alone. He expects strong Indian demand during Diwali and recommends allocating 10-15% of financial assets to gold. Over the next five years, technology, tokenisation and blockchain could make gold more accessible, transparent and easier to trade.

Gold's 192% Dhanteras rally: Rs 92,000 jump in five years, but can the yellow metal reclaim its lost shine in 2027?
Gold has delivered nearly 192% returns over the past five Dhanteras celebrations, but a sharp correction from its January peak has clouded the outlook. Experts assess whether investors should buy the dip, while brokerages share their gold and silver price targets for 2027.

Gold price prediction: Will gold rally on Thursday after midterm election result? Check outlook for November 5
Gold surged 5% to cross $4,100 per ounce, marking its biggest single-day gain since mid-August. Silver also climbed past the $50 per ounce mark, rising 6%. Both precious metals staged a strong recovery from October’s steep losses, with silver leading the gains. Lower borrowing costs and a weaker dollar provided further support to bullion prices.

Silver ETFs jump up to 6%, white metal reclaims $51 as Democrats win US midterms. What should investors do?
Silver ETFs rallied up to 6% as silver prices rebounded above $50 an ounce following the Democrats' US midterm election victory. Experts advise investors against chasing the recovery, citing volatility, uncertain industrial demand and the possibility of further price swings.

Silver prices jump over 4% to reclaim $51/oz as Democrats secure US midterm victory. What’s happening?
Silver prices surged over 4% to reclaim the $51/oz mark after Democrats secured a victory in the US midterm elections, weakening the dollar and Treasury yields. However, HSBC expects further gains to be limited as silver trades close to levels justified by fundamentals. Industrial and jewellery demand may weaken, while institutional buying and supply constraints could offer support.

Gold price prediction: Will gold bounce back on Wednesday? Check outlook for November 4
On the MCX, gold prices ended flat, while silver gained momentum to close higher. As for international prices, spot gold dipped 0.3% to $3,948.75 per ounce, while US gold futures for December delivery gained 0.1% to $3,943.20. Spot silver fell 0.2% to $49.67 per ounce.

Gold prices ahead of Dhanteras: Up 10% in a year, but is the worst of correction still ahead?
Gold has outperformed the Nifty and Sensex since Dhanteras 2025, despite falling sharply from its January peak. With inflation concerns, Fed rate expectations and weak demand weighing on prices, analysts remain divided on its near-term outlook, while major banks see scope for a recovery in 2027.

Gold firms on softer oil prices, US midterm results awaited
Gold prices experienced a modest uptick in early Asian markets, spurred by a decline in oil prices that has helped ease inflationary concerns. This shift is shaping investor expectations around potential actions from the Federal Reserve. Attention is also focused on the US midterm election outcomes, which could influence market volatility, while India's gold demand faces a projected six-year low amidst high prices affecting sales.

Gold price prediction: Gold prices extend losses on Tuesday. Check outlook for November 3
Investors are now looking to the US midterm elections for indications of the country's fiscal policy direction and their potential impact on broader market sentiment.

Silver crashes below $60 from $122 and enters oversold zone. What should you do?
Silver’s sharp rally has reversed amid expectations of higher US interest rates, rising bond yields and a stronger dollar. HSBC expects limited upside as weaker demand, increasing supply and a narrowing market deficit reduce the chances of the metal returning to $100 soon.

ETMarkets Smart Talk | Gold for ballast, silver for growth; avoid industrial commodities in core portfolios: Saish Sawant
In this edition of ETMarkets Smart Talk, Saish Sawant, Research Analyst–Commodities at Emkay Global Financial Services, breaks down the contrasting moves across gold, crude and copper.

Explained: Why gold investors should tone down expectations as yellow metal plunges to a 1-year low
Gold has fallen more than 30% from its January record high, with rising oil prices, inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes adding to pressure. Analysts remain cautious about a near-term recovery, even as major banks retain bullish forecasts for 2027.
Gold lingers near one-year low as Fed hike expectations firm
Gold prices experienced a minor uptick in early trading across Asia; however, they linger near a one-year low. Persistent worries about inflation are bolstering expectations for an impending Federal Reserve rate increase this year. The recent drop in tech stocks has placed additional strain on bullion prices, prompting a sell-off in safe-haven investments. Buyers in major Asian markets, especially India and China, remain hesitant amid expectations of further price declines.

With G-sec yields rising, countries have no alternative but to increase their bullion holdings
In India yield on T-year G secs has increased by 0.4 percentage points over the same period. Unfortunately, governments are confronting these higher borrowing costs precisely at a time when debt is elevated, with global public debt expected to exceed 100% of GDP by 2030, a level last reached in the immediate aftermath of WW2.

Silver market’s big problem may be ending, but a new worry is coming for investors
Silver could move from a supply deficit to a surplus in 2027 as rising inventories, weak jewellery demand and slowing industrial consumption ease market tightness, Metals Focus said. Silver has underperformed gold amid expectations of higher interest rates and falling investor demand.

Gold dips on firmer dollar; US inflation data in focus
Gold prices experienced a decline as the dollar strengthened following the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady. Market participants are now paying close attention to forthcoming inflation statistics, which could sway the Fed's future decisions. Spot gold dropped by 0.7%, while both silver and platinum recorded slight downturns. However, palladium saw a modest uptick due to ongoing market volatility.

Weak returns at home fuel India's overseas retail investing boom
Indian retail investors are increasingly venturing into global markets, significantly boosting their overseas investments. In response, domestic asset managers are introducing new funds to meet the rising demand for international exposure. With the Reserve Bank of India's limits on overseas investments nearing their cap, many investors are exploring tax-friendly locations like GIFT City.

Weak domestic returns fuel India's overseas retail investing boom
Indian investors are turning to global funds as domestic market performance remains weak and opportunities abroad increase. A surge in overseas investments, particularly in AI-related assets, has been noted recently. Fund managers are launching various international funds to cater to this growing demand. Regulatory limits on overseas investments are in place, but tax-neutral hubs offer solutions.

Gold, silver prices crash up to 53% from January peak. Time to buy before Dhanteras, festive season?
Gold and silver prices have corrected sharply from their January peaks, raising questions about whether the fall offers a buying opportunity ahead of Dhanteras and the wedding season. Experts recommend staggered purchases over lump-sum investments, while highlighting interest rates, the US dollar, inflation and industrial demand as key drivers of prices.

Silver prices are tarnished but not forgotten. Why HSBC thinks gains in white metal may be limited?
Silver prices have plunged nearly 60% from their January record high, but HSBC expects limited gains ahead. The bank sees prices consolidating and edging higher in 2027, supported by gold, while rising mine output, recycling supply, weaker industrial demand, a firm US dollar and elevated yields could cap rallies.

India's gold import route changing course for a benefit all jewellers want
India is diversifying its gold import sources as expanding domestic refining capacity, tax incentives and the India-UAE trade pact reshape supply chains. Switzerland’s share of India’s bullion imports fell to 21.9% in FY26 from 42.4% five years earlier, while the UAE’s share rose to 16.5% from 10.8%, according to Crisil Intelligence.

Silver hits 11-month low of ₹1.95 lakh as crude stokes inflation fears
On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), silver futures fell ₹6,799 per kg, or 3.4%, to ₹1,92,800 per kg on Friday. Prices have plunged ₹32,955, or more than 14%, over the past 10 sessions. A recent appreciation in the rupee has provided only limited relief against the decline in international prices.
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