CHINA AGGRESSION
Nifty bulls reclaim 25,000 mark as FIIs step up India buying: 5 factors that will determine D-Street's fate next week
Indian equities rallied nearly 9% last week as the Nifty reclaimed 25,000 and the Sensex gained 8.82%. FIIs bought Rs 45,960 crore, while DIIs sold Rs 24,197 crore. Investors will track AI stocks, crude oil, geopolitical developments, US Treasury yields, India's October inflation data and Nifty technical levels in the coming week.
Rubio to visit France on first post-midterm foreign trip to face questions on Trump policies
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio will attend the G7 foreign ministers meeting in France this weekend. This trip follows significant Republican losses in the midterm elections, raising questions about Trump's international policies. Rubio is expected to address various global issues, including the Iran and Russia-Ukraine conflicts. The meeting aims to cover topics like energy security and support for Ukraine amidst ongoing challenges.
India bonds emerge as top Asian performers as oil, Treasury yields decline
This week, Indian government bonds saw a positive trend following a Democratic win in the U.S. midterm elections. The reduction in oil prices and Treasury yields eased rupee pressure, boosting investor confidence. The benchmark bond yield improved significantly, declining by approximately 22 basis points. Furthermore, the surge in foreign investments into Indian bonds marked a notable high since July, leading to enhanced overall market sentiment.
Donald Trump's political humbling after US midterms signals short-term gain, long-term pain for China
Donald Trump's US midterm election defeat could strengthen China's hand in upcoming US-China trade negotiations, giving Beijing leverage to push for tariff reductions and other concessions. However, Beijing remains wary of a potentially more hawkish US administration after Trump. China's concerns include Taiwan arms sales, a possible Iran war escalation, energy security and the future of its fragile trade truce with Washington.
AI stocks retreat as Democratic sweep puts data centre boom in focus
AI-related stocks came under pressure on Wednesday despite a broader Wall Street rally following the Democratic sweep of Congress. Data centre companies CoreWeave, Iren and Nebius fell, alongside Nvidia and Marvell, as investors weighed concerns over rising power costs, job losses, political scrutiny and debt-funded AI spending.
From Iran to trade, how the US midterms impact the rest of the world
US Democrats' recent midterm election victories could influence global relations, especially concerning Iran and Israel. The potential for a peace deal with Iran seems viable as US voters oppose prolonged conflicts. In Ukraine, Democrats may propose increased financial and military aid, which could face delays. Additionally, Asian countries may reconsider investment pledges to avoid tariffs in light of these outcomes.
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US midterm election results: What Trump & Republicans' loss means for India
US midterms result: Indian industry and economy watchers were keenly looking at the polls to try and find out what direction US policy will take. In recent months, India's trade/export fortunes have swayed in lockstep with Trump's tantrums, making policymakers jittery over any new development in the US.
China stocks struggle near one-year lows despite fresh government support measures
Chinese stocks struggled near one-year lows despite fresh government measures to support the market, as investors remained cautious ahead of the US midterm elections. Concerns over China's economic outlook and technology stocks continued to weigh on sentiment.
Dollar dips with US midterm results in focus
The dollar lost ground against key international currencies as investors anticipated Democratic victories in the upcoming US midterm elections. With Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff's reelection in Georgia as a noteworthy milestone, analysts suggest a potential Democratic majority in both the House and Senate could alter future government spending policies. Meanwhile, oil prices are stable amid ongoing geopolitical issues, particularly those concerning Iran and Ukraine.
ETMarkets Smart Talk | Gold for ballast, silver for growth; avoid industrial commodities in core portfolios: Saish Sawant
In this edition of ETMarkets Smart Talk, Saish Sawant, Research Analyst–Commodities at Emkay Global Financial Services, breaks down the contrasting moves across gold, crude and copper.
China stocks edge higher as reports of market support lift sentiment
China’s stock market edged higher after reports that regulators would discuss measures to support capital markets. However, concerns over state-backed Zhuhai Huafa Group’s liquidity continued to weigh on related stocks and bond funds.
With G-sec yields rising, countries have no alternative but to increase their bullion holdings
In India yield on T-year G secs has increased by 0.4 percentage points over the same period. Unfortunately, governments are confronting these higher borrowing costs precisely at a time when debt is elevated, with global public debt expected to exceed 100% of GDP by 2030, a level last reached in the immediate aftermath of WW2.
Global Market: European automakers get earnings boost as Chinese competition weighs on recovery
European automakers have received a boost from recent earnings, but their recovery remains fragile. Rising competition from Chinese manufacturers, costly technological shifts and structural weaknesses continue to cloud the sector's long-term growth prospects.
Silver market’s big problem may be ending, but a new worry is coming for investors
Silver could move from a supply deficit to a surplus in 2027 as rising inventories, weak jewellery demand and slowing industrial consumption ease market tightness, Metals Focus said. Silver has underperformed gold amid expectations of higher interest rates and falling investor demand.
Microsoft, Oracle outshine Alphabet as investors demand AI returns
Wall Street increasingly favours technology companies demonstrating financial discipline in AI investments. Microsoft and Oracle gained on strong cash flow prospects, while Alphabet shares plunged amid rising capital expenditure and slower search growth. Investors are prioritising sustainable returns, profitability and cash generation over aggressive artificial intelligence infrastructure expansion.
Global Market: Japan bond yields steady ahead of BOJ policy decision
Japanese government bond yields remained largely steady ahead of the Bank of Japan’s policy decision on Friday, supported by strong demand at a two-year bond auction and gains in US Treasuries. Markets expect the BOJ to hold rates steady, while a Reuters poll points to a possible 25-basis-point hike in December.
Global Market Today: Asian shares fall as Alphabet earnings miss drags Wall St futures lower
Asian markets faced a downturn following a mix of earnings results, stirring concerns as investors await Amazon and Intel's performance. Alphabet saw its stock plunge due to weak cash flows, while Microsoft benefited from stronger-than-anticipated earnings. Despite Samsung Electronics achieving impressive operating profit growth linked to AI chip demand, its shares also slipped.
US and Japan to establish a Japanese facility for joint missile production
The United States and Japan have decided to establish a facility for joint missile production in a strategic partnership. Japanese Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi highlighted the importance of this venture in addressing regional security concerns. Both nations aim to enhance their defense cooperation against rising threats, particularly regarding China's assertiveness in Asia. Additionally, discussions emphasized the significance of maintaining a rules-based international order in the region.
Japan eyes Indian live firing ranges for missile and drone training as defence cooperation deepens
Japan is collaborating with India to enhance defense capabilities, particularly in anti-ship missile training and drone operations. Japanese Self-Defense Forces have dispatched officials to inspect India's test facilities and live firing ranges. Past military cooperation has included similar training support extended by India to other friendly nations like Singapore. The focus on joint exercises comes amid increasing military tensions in the region, especially concerning China.
Gold, silver prices crash up to 53% from January peak. Time to buy before Dhanteras, festive season?
Gold and silver prices have corrected sharply from their January peaks, raising questions about whether the fall offers a buying opportunity ahead of Dhanteras and the wedding season. Experts recommend staggered purchases over lump-sum investments, while highlighting interest rates, the US dollar, inflation and industrial demand as key drivers of prices.
Trump's cure for Republicans' midterm woes is more Trump. Will it work?
US President Donald Trump is actively campaigning in various states to energize Republican voters ahead of the midterm elections. His rallies are designed to focus on personal appeals and past grievances instead of upcoming policy proposals. Despite Trump's popularity among core supporters, Republican candidates may face challenges due to his low approval ratings on critical issues. Many voters, particularly independents, express strong opposition to Trump, which impacts Republican candidates' chances.
Iran hasn't tried to repair nuclear facilities damaged in US strikes, UN nuclear chief says
Rafael Grossi of the IAEA stated that Iran has not repaired its nuclear facilities after military strikes. The US and Israel initiated strikes to hinder Iran's nuclear weapon capabilities, according to President Donald Trump. Iran is accused of failing to comply with nuclear nonproliferation obligations while maintaining its program is peaceful. The UN Security Council meeting addressed these concerns amidst tensions with Russia and China.
Hunter Biden laptop issue resurfaces as judge scolds prosecutors over case against ex-FBI officials
A US magistrate judge has rejected a new obstruction charge against two former FBI officials accused of making false statements to Congress about Hunter Biden's laptop, criticising prosecutors for improperly filing the amended complaint without judicial approval. The hearing also raised questions about the investigation's political motivations, with an FBI agent testifying that Director Kash Patel ordered the probe following a speech by President Donald Trump.
'Chinese troops have entered 40-50 km into Indian territory': Arunachal Congress chief Bosiram Siram on border situation
Arunachal Pradesh Congress chief Bosiram Siram has alleged that Chinese troops have intruded 40-50 km into Indian territory in Upper Subansiri district, claims that have not been independently verified. Following a visit to border areas from August 26 to 29, Siram said Chinese military activities had restricted locals’ access to traditional grazing and hunting grounds.
Congress state chief claims China entered 50 km into Arunachal Pradesh, CM Pema Khandu fact-checks
Arunachal Pradesh Congress chief Bosiram Siram has claimed that Chinese troops advanced 40 to 50 km into Indian territory in Upper Subansiri district, an allegation rejected by Chief Minister Pema Khandu. The claim comes after the Indian Army debunked a separate allegation by Bihar Congress communication chief Ritu Choudhary involving troop movements. Siram has called for an impartial investigation into reports from border residents.
Global Market: BOJ nears historic inflation milestone, shifts focus to rate hikes
The Bank of Japan is expected to declare its nearly 14-year battle to achieve 2% inflation successful while keeping interest rates unchanged at 1.25%. With wage growth and inflation expectations strengthening, policymakers may signal further tightening, potentially in December, as they balance persistent price pressures against economic growth and financial stability.
Brazil stock market to crash today? What Lula’s surprise victory in elections means for emerging markets, commodities
Brazil’s stock market faces a potential sharp selloff after President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s surprise election victory dashed investor hopes of a change in government and fiscal policy. Analysts warn of possible circuit breakers as the real weakens and soybean futures slide, with emerging markets also watching the fallout.
Global luxury goods industry set for recovery in 2027, US to remain bright spot: Goldman Sachs
The global luxury goods industry is expected to witness a recovery after several years of sluggish sales performance, with revenues of major listed luxury brands projected to grow by 7 per cent in 2027, with the US likely remaining the "bright spot," according to a report by Goldman Sachs.
India must avoid copying China's aggressive tax policies on private wealth and offshore assets
Developing economies often look to the US and China for cues on taxation, infra spending and policy. India, for one, must steer clear of emulating such tax policies. China's circumstances are materially different from India's. India's economy is expanding at a healthy pace, and housing is rising steadily.
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