CENTRAL BANK DEMAND
BOJ's Ueda sees upside risks to inflation, says price growth may accelerate into early 2027
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda flagged upside risks to inflation, warning that rising energy costs could accelerate price growth into early 2027. He said the central bank was targeting sustainable 2% inflation while monitoring global monetary policy, AI-related market risks and cybersecurity threats to financial stability.
Japan bond yields rise as safe-haven demand eases after tech rebound
Japanese government bond yields rebounded as recovering technology stocks reduced safe-haven demand following last week's sharp selloff. Strong US jobs data and expectations of further Bank of Japan tightening also influenced investor sentiment across the bond market.
India short bonds may underperform on rate hikes, cash squeeze
India's bond market is experiencing changes due to recent interest rate hikes and tightening liquidity conditions. The Reserve Bank of India is anticipated to raise interest rates significantly in the coming months. Short-term bonds are expected to be more sensitive to these monetary conditions, leading to their underperformance. There are expectations for the yield curve to flatten further as short-term yields rise.
Gold's short-term volatility contrasts with long-term bullishness
Recently, gold prices have leveled out at approximately $4,000 an ounce after experiencing notable volatility throughout the year. This stabilization has attracted increased investor interest, spurred by central bank acquisitions amid economic unpredictability. Moreover, demand for gold jewelry has seen a significant uptick in regions like India and China, thanks to decreased prices.
Planning to invest in gold and silver this Diwali? 7 experts decode the risks, outlook and allocation strategy
During the festive season of Diwali, many investors in India turn to gold and silver as traditional investment choices. With the backdrop of rising energy costs and inflation, the prices of these metals have seen fluctuations. Financial experts recommend that in the face of current market volatility, it might be wise for investors to reassess their strategies.
Charting the global economy: Job growth in US tops all forecasts
US employment rose significantly last month, with the jobless rate declining to 4.1%, indicating robust economic activity. Labor productivity increased sharply in the third quarter, reflecting business adaptation to rising costs and greater efficiency.
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Paraguay's ousted president faces prosecutors after his removal over bank collapse
Santiago Pena was removed from office by Congress following a bank failure affecting nearly three million customers. Prosecutors ordered his arrest for alleged breach of trust and other offenses related to Ueno Bank's collapse. His successor, Vice President Pedro Alliana, began forming a new Cabinet to address the situation. Public protests demanding accountability and access to frozen funds escalated significantly in response.

How a banking scandal is taking down Trump’s ally in Paraguay
Paraguay's Ueno Bank has collapsed, leaving customers locked out of their accounts and prompting nationwide protests. President Santiago Peña faces impeachment while being linked to the bank's swift downfall amid allegations of misconduct. The Central Bank had found serious issues with Ueno’s lending practices prior to its seizure, which caused it to be declared insolvent. Regulators found that the bank issued loans beyond legal limits without proper categorization.

Dollar jumps after strong US payrolls report
The US dollar index jumped significantly following the Labor Department's report indicating an increase of 165,000 jobs last month, which far exceeded economists' forecasts. As a result, the probability of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve climbed to nearly 80% for next month. Moreover, Federal Reserve officials voiced concerns about ongoing inflation, leading to declines for other currencies such as the euro and sterling against the dollar.
Ousted Paraguayan President Santiago Pena placed under house arrest after bank collapse; Pedro Alliana sworn in as sudden successor
Santiago Pena, the ousted President of Paraguay, was placed under house arrest on charges of misconduct. His removal follows the collapse of Ueno Bank, affecting nearly half of Paraguay's population. Vice President Pedro Alliana has assumed presidency amidst public outcry for accountability. Regulators seized Ueno Bank, locking depositors out of their accounts and triggering a political crisis. Lawmakers allege Pena abused his political influence regarding Ueno's operations and regulatory oversight.

NY Fed's John Williams flags need to gather more information on inflation risks before rate decisions
Federal Reserve officials John Williams and Alberto Musalem have flagged persistent inflation risks, with rapid AI infrastructure investment potentially adding to price pressures. Williams backed the need for more economic data before determining monetary policy, while Musalem warned that policymakers must address current inflation rather than wait for future AI-driven productivity gains.

Gold may glitter at Rs 1.68 lakh as global uncertainties bolster outlook: Report
Gold prices in India could rise to ₹1.60-1.68 lakh per 10 grams over the next 6-12 months, according to Motilal Oswal Financial Services (MOFSL), which sees price corrections as buying opportunities amid sustained investment demand and central-bank purchases..

US yields fall in choppy session as oil rises and equities sink
As geopolitical tensions change the landscape, US Treasuries are witnessing a spike in demand while equity markets take a hit and oil prices show volatility. Investors are reassessing their outlook on the US-Iran relations following new election results. The labor market remains resilient with dropping unemployment claims and heightened productivity levels, pointing towards ongoing inflation risk.
Paraguayan president Santiago Pena impeached minutes after resigning following bank collapse
The 78-0 vote marked a stunning repudiation of Pena by lawmakers from his long-ruling Colorado Party, who joined the opposition in backing his impeachment after three days of demonstrations rocked the capital, Asuncion.

'Gold’s rally is not just about wars, it’s fundamentally linked to $40 tn US debt': WGC India CEO Sachin Jain
World Gold Council India CEO Sachin Jain said gold’s rally is driven by rising US debt, de-dollarisation and central bank purchases, rather than geopolitics alone. He expects strong Indian demand during Diwali and recommends allocating 10-15% of financial assets to gold. Over the next five years, technology, tokenisation and blockchain could make gold more accessible, transparent and easier to trade.

Barclays infuses Rs 1500 cr into Indian operations
Barclays Bank Plc has infused over ₹1,500 crore (£125 million) into its Indian operations, marking its third capital infusion in five years. The investment will support the growth of its investment banking and private banking businesses in India.

Gold's 192% Dhanteras rally: Rs 92,000 jump in five years, but can the yellow metal reclaim its lost shine in 2027?
Gold has delivered nearly 192% returns over the past five Dhanteras celebrations, but a sharp correction from its January peak has clouded the outlook. Experts assess whether investors should buy the dip, while brokerages share their gold and silver price targets for 2027.

Gold price prediction: Will gold bounce back on Wednesday? Check outlook for November 4
On the MCX, gold prices ended flat, while silver gained momentum to close higher. As for international prices, spot gold dipped 0.3% to $3,948.75 per ounce, while US gold futures for December delivery gained 0.1% to $3,943.20. Spot silver fell 0.2% to $49.67 per ounce.

Glittering Prospects: Why Gold is the ultimate sweet spot this Dhanteras
Gold is trading over 20% below its peak ahead of Dhanteras, offering long-term investors a potential staggered buying opportunity. Central-bank demand, ETF inflows and rupee weakness could support prices, with analysts projecting returns of 15–20% by next Dhanteras.

Gold and silver prices correct ahead of Diwali: Buying opportunity or a trap?
Gold and silver have corrected sharply from record highs, but their long-term fundamentals remain supportive. Investors with a longer horizon may consider staggered accumulation, with gold and silver potentially recovering toward $4,750 and $75, respectively, by Diwali 2027.

Gold prices ahead of Dhanteras: Up 10% in a year, but is the worst of correction still ahead?
Gold has outperformed the Nifty and Sensex since Dhanteras 2025, despite falling sharply from its January peak. With inflation concerns, Fed rate expectations and weak demand weighing on prices, analysts remain divided on its near-term outlook, while major banks see scope for a recovery in 2027.

IDBI Bank Strike: What's on November 10? Nationwide bank strike, wider protests on the table; here's what you need to know
IDBI Bank Strike: A two-day nationwide strike by IDBI Bank employees and officers against the proposed sale of a majority stake to Canada's Fairfax Financial Holdings ended on Tuesday. The union will decide its next course of action at a meeting on November 10 and may seek support from other bank unions for a nationwide protest. Meanwhile, the Congress has also raised concerns over the proposed Rs 53,000 crore deal.

Gold price prediction: Gold prices extend losses on Tuesday. Check outlook for November 3
Investors are now looking to the US midterm elections for indications of the country's fiscal policy direction and their potential impact on broader market sentiment.

Chinese yuan set for biggest daily drop in six months after PBOC tightens FX reserves
China's yuan weakened against the US dollar after the PBOC raised the foreign exchange reserve requirement ratio to curb rapid currency appreciation. The move comes amid concerns over export competitiveness and follows strong gains in the yuan during October.

Gold edges higher on softer oil; US midterm elections in focus
Following a previous surge, gold prices experienced a minor uptick, influenced by declining oil rates and ongoing inflation concerns. Investors are honing in on the forthcoming US midterm elections for cues on economic direction. Financial analysts speculate a potential interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve in December to combat inflation, while the Bank of England is anticipated to tackle similar issues this Thursday.

US manufacturing picks up in October; input prices stay high
US manufacturing activity experienced growth in October due to solid domestic demand and increased business spending in AI. The manufacturing PMI rose to 55.5 from 54.5 in September, indicating ongoing growth in this sector. Domestic demand showed the strongest pace of growth in over five years during the third quarter. However, inflation remains a concern amidst supply challenges and high input prices.

Explained: Why gold investors should tone down expectations as yellow metal plunges to a 1-year low
Gold has fallen more than 30% from its January record high, with rising oil prices, inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes adding to pressure. Analysts remain cautious about a near-term recovery, even as major banks retain bullish forecasts for 2027.

Government giving Rs 8,000 as diwali bonus? PIB responds to viral claim
The Press Information Bureau issued a warning about fraudulent WhatsApp messages claiming an Rs 8,000 Diwali bonus. These messages ask recipients to click on links to access a fake payment website. The messages aim to collect personal information and trick users into unauthorized transactions. Citizens are advised to verify such claims through official government websites and not to respond to suspicious messages.

Charting the global economy: Central banks hold rates steady
Global central banks have opted to keep interest rates unchanged amidst growing inflation worries stemming from energy costs. While the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank signaled potential hikes during their December meetings, the US economy displays robust growth from business investments and consumer activity.
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