ASIAN BOND MARKET
India bonds track Treasury weakness ahead of debt supply
Indian government bonds are currently facing losses as traders brace for an influx of debt supply and mounting inflation pressures. The 10-year US Treasury yield is nearing the 5% mark, fueled by predictions of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes in December. With India's retail inflation climbing to 6.09%, expectations rise for further rate adjustments by the Reserve Bank of India.
Alphabet's first Hong Kong, Singapore dollar bond sales draw $5 billion orders
Alphabet attracted approximately $5 billion in combined orders for its maiden Hong Kong and Singapore dollar bond offerings, reflecting strong investor demand. The fundraising supports its expanding AI infrastructure investments and diversifies its debt portfolio. The company may increase issuance sizes amid continued borrowing to finance growing technology investments.
India bonds to stay hemmed in by oil, Treasury moves ahead of inflation data
Indian government bonds are anticipated to trade between softer oil prices and rising US yields. The market is waiting for domestic inflation data that could influence the Reserve Bank of India's rate strategy. A Reuters poll estimates an increase in annual consumer inflation, potentially leading to further tightening by the RBI. Investors are cautious ahead of a significant bond auction scheduled for Friday.
Alphabet eyes $3 billion Hong Kong, Singapore bond sale, sources say
In a strategic move, Alphabet aims to raise about $3 billion via bond sales denominated in Hong Kong and Singapore dollars. The target sizes for these offerings are set at HK$8 billion and S$1.5 billion, respectively. This comes at a time when the market is experiencing an AI-driven selloff, greatly affecting investor enthusiasm.
China stocks edge lower, Hong Kong shares fall as global rate concerns weigh
Chinese mainland stocks edged lower while Hong Kong equities fell as investors assessed rising global bond yields, stronger US inflation and uncertainty in oil markets. Technology stocks showed resilience, with the ChiNext index gaining 1% and the CSI 5G Communications Index rising 3%.
India bonds slip as Treasury rout offsets oil slide
Indian government bonds declined on Wednesday as a sharp rise in US Treasury yields, triggered by hotter-than-expected inflation and hawkish signals from policymakers, overshadowed relief from lower crude oil prices. Higher US yields could erode the relative return advantage of Indian debt, dampening its appeal among foreign investors.
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South Korean shares fall as AI concerns, US inflation weigh on sentiment
South Korean shares fell as concerns over elevated AI valuations and stronger-than-expected US inflation weighed on investor sentiment. The benchmark KOSPI declined 0.34%, led by losses in chipmakers Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. The won strengthened against the dollar, while government bond yields rose amid expectations of further US interest rate hikes.

Japan's Nikkei rises for third straight session as AI optimism returns; SoftBank falls 3%
Japan's Nikkei 225 rose 0.80% for a third consecutive session as renewed optimism around artificial intelligence stocks lifted sentiment. Strong semiconductor demand and improving manufacturer confidence supported gains. However, SoftBank shares fell 3% after the technology investment giant reported a second-quarter net loss of 1.1 trillion yen.

Sichuan Neautus shares surge 119% in Hong Kong IPO debut
Sichuan Neautus Traditional Chinese Medicine shares soared in their Hong Kong debut after the company raised HK$262 million through an IPO. Strong retail investor demand, reflected in massive oversubscription, drove the stock sharply higher despite weakness in the broader market.

Japan bond yields rise as US inflation fuels rate hike bets
Japanese government bond yields climbed for a third straight session, tracking a global debt selloff after stronger US inflation data and hawkish Fed commentary raised expectations of further rate hikes. Investors also assessed the Bank of Japan’s policy outlook ahead of key bond auctions.

Chinese yuan remains range-bound as US rate hike bets strengthen dollar
The Chinese yuan edged higher but remained range-bound as a weaker PBOC midpoint and expectations of further US rate hikes limited gains. Strong export data and a sizeable trade surplus, however, continue to support the currency's longer-term outlook.

Dollar gains traction as Fed speakers warn of risks from inflation
The US dollar is holding onto gains following a stronger-than-expected inflation report. Federal Reserve comments indicate potential rate hikes to address ongoing inflation concerns. Market expectations are shifting, with traders anticipating a rate hike at the upcoming policy meeting. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury bond has also increased, reflecting market sentiments. Cryptocurrencies like bitcoin and ether are trading near three-month lows amidst these developments.

Global Market Today: Asian stocks rise on CoreWeave results, bonds drop
Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose as much 0.3%, while South Korea’s Kospi swung between gains and losses. A broader gauge of Asian shares advanced 0.2%. Contracts for tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 0.4% in early Asian after the underlying index dropped 0.6% in regular trading.

Easing global headwinds, lower crude oil prices may further lift rupee in coming months: Economists
Economists predict the Indian rupee will strengthen against the US dollar in the coming months. Factors contributing to this appreciation include lower crude oil prices and improving foreign capital inflows. Additionally, a weaker US dollar and the easing of geopolitical tensions are supporting this trend. The Reserve Bank of India has implemented measures to stabilize the currency and enhance dollar availability.

Eurozone bond yields fall as lower energy prices ease inflation concerns
On Tuesday, government bond yields in the Eurozone experienced a notable drop, particularly for French and Italian bonds. The easing of inflation worries, attributed to falling oil and natural gas prices, enhanced demand for bonds. Germany's 10-year bond yield fell to 3.25%, while France's decreased to 4.69%. Boosted by the US President's calming remarks, market sentiment improved, especially for nations that had faced challenges in their bond markets.

South Korean shares surge over 3% as tech stocks rebound, oil prices ease
South Korean shares surged 3.57%, snapping a three-session losing streak, as gains in US technology stocks and falling oil prices boosted investor sentiment. Chipmakers Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix led the rally, while foreign investors turned net buyers. However, the won weakened and government bond yields edged higher.

Indian bonds drift with oil; inflation data in focus
Indian government bonds exhibited limited movement today as oil prices showed signs of stabilization. Investors are remaining cautious, especially with inflation data from both the United States and India on the horizon. Scheduled for later today is a bond auction totaling 290.5 billion rupees. Analysts predict yields on the 10-year bond could oscillate between 7.30% and 7.10%, with particular attention on India's October inflation report due for release this Thursday.

Japan bond yields rise as safe-haven demand eases after tech rebound
Japanese government bond yields rebounded as recovering technology stocks reduced safe-haven demand following last week's sharp selloff. Strong US jobs data and expectations of further Bank of Japan tightening also influenced investor sentiment across the bond market.

South Korean shares rebound as chipmakers recover from AI-driven selloff
South Korean shares rebounded on Monday as benchmark index KOSPI rose over 1.5%. Chip giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix led the recovery following Wall Street gains and government assurances over Nvidia GPU supply continuity, despite remaining net selling pressure from foreign investors.

Emerging markets lose $33.8 billion in October as investors flee Asian stocks
October witnessed an alarming withdrawal of $33.8 billion by foreign investors from emerging markets, the largest since March. Almost all of this outflow consisted of equities, severely impacting Taiwan. While Emerging Asia grappled with major losses, Latin America encountered minimal setbacks amid election related volatility. Additionally, Chinese stocks continued to see foreign sell offs for the fifth consecutive month.

Rising oil prices cap India bond rally; traders cash in gains
Indian government bonds saw a rise as traders reacted to a US Treasury rally and falling crude prices. The benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond yield declined by nearly 2 basis points after intraday fluctuations. Oil prices rebounded after initially falling, causing traders to lock in profits. Attention will turn to upcoming inflation data, with expectations for an increase in October.

Eurozone bond yields edge lower as oil prices stabilise, ECB rate bets ease
Eurozone government bond yields edged lower as oil prices stabilised and investors assessed easing geopolitical risks following US midterm elections. However, rising inflation, potential ECB rate hikes and political uncertainty in France continued to shape market sentiment and influence European debt markets.

Japan bond yields fall as oil prices slide on hopes of Iran war de-escalation
Japanese government bond yields declined across maturities, tracking a fall in US Treasury yields as lower oil prices eased inflation concerns and improved hopes of an end to the Iran conflict. However, expectations of further Bank of Japan rate hikes could limit the decline.

South Korean shares reverse gains, KOSPI falls over 1% as US midterm results loom
South Korean shares reversed early gains as caution ahead of the US midterm election results triggered broad selling. Technology stocks led the decline, while foreign investors offloaded equities worth 1 trillion won amid concerns over global market volatility.

US Treasury projects $618 billion borrowing in Q4, $800 billion in Q1 2027
The US Treasury is estimating federal borrowing will hit $618 billion in the last quarter of 2026, which is $10 billion less than previously thought. Despite anticipating lower cash flows, the Treasury projects borrowing of $800 billion in early 2027 as well. Market watchers are eager for upcoming announcements regarding Treasury auctions, as these might indicate changes in their bond issuance tactics.

Chinese stocks fall as investors unimpressed by fresh market support measures
Chinese stocks declined as selling in energy and technology shares outweighed fresh regulatory measures aimed at supporting the market. Investor sentiment remained weak amid concerns over the property sector and disappointment that the latest policy steps fell short of expectations.

South Korean shares slide nearly 3% as tech selloff deepens; won strengthens
South Korean shares fell sharply as a global technology selloff dragged chipmakers and other heavyweight stocks lower. A stronger won and plunging oil prices offered little support as foreign investors continued to sell equities.

10-year bond yield eases 10 bps to 7.31% in sharpest fall since April
The 10-year bond yield experienced a notable decline to 7.31% following a decrease in oil prices. This decline represented the steepest drop observed since early April of this year. Oil prices fell nearly 5%, retreating from a six-month peak that occurred last week. Traders are currently holding back on taking fresh positions as they await the US midterm elections.

Oil slide hands India's 10-year bond its best day since early April
The recent drop in Brent crude prices is creating an uptick in demand for Indian government bonds, particularly shining on the 10-year note which has experienced its strongest performance since April. As yields decrease, investors are keen to secure these advantageous rates ahead of the US midterm elections, aware of their potential market implications.
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