25 BPS HIKE
Indian bonds rangebound as traders await a hawkish RBI verdict
Indian government bonds witnessed minimal changes on Tuesday as traders prepared for an expected rate hike. The benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond yield decreased slightly, reflecting a cautious market sentiment. Many economists predict the Reserve Bank of India will raise its key policy rate by 25 basis points during the meeting. Additionally, investors are concerned about potential further actions that may accompany the rate increase.
RBI MPC Date and Time: Guv Sanjay Malhotra to share key update on repo rate, inflation & more; check when and where to watch live speech
RBI MPC Meeting October 2026: The Reserve Bank of India is expected to consider its first repo rate hike in four years amid rising inflation risks and elevated crude oil prices. RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra will announce the monetary policy decision on October 7 at 10 am. Experts anticipate a 25-basis-point repo rate hike, potentially taking rates to 5.50%.
Rupee hits two-month low on outflows, investors await RBI outcome with hike priced in
The Indian rupee fell to its lowest point in over two months due to equity outflows. Traders are focusing on the Reserve Bank of India’s upcoming monetary policy decision. Analysts expect a 25 basis point hike, which could strengthen the rupee. Dollar sales from state-run banks have limited the currency's decline amidst persistent short positions. Future comments from policymakers will be closely monitored for indications on benchmark rates.
Banks vs NBFCs: Which stocks could benefit as RBI eyes rate hike for first time in 3 years?
The RBI’s expected first rate hike in three years could have a mixed impact on banks and NBFCs. While higher funding costs may pressure NBFC margins, lenders with floating-rate assets and strong liquidity could benefit. Brokerages favour HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Bajaj Finance and Tata Capital.
- Go To Page 1
Explained: How RBI rate hike may impact Sensex, Nifty after 8-week losing streak
The Reserve Bank of India is expected to announce a 25-basis point rate hike in its upcoming meeting. Analysts assert that this rate hike has already been largely priced into the stock market. While sectors such as real estate and autos may experience some volatility, clean balance sheets could mitigate impacts. The market's movement will depend more on corporate earnings than on monetary policy adjustments.
FD interest rate hike coming? With rising inflation, many experts expect RBI to hike interest rate
Many financial analysts expect the Reserve Bank of India to increase the repo rate by 25 basis points. This forecast is driven by persistent inflation, soaring crude oil prices, and a depreciating rupee. Should the RBI implement this hike, it could lead to higher fixed deposit returns for investors. Meanwhile, public sector banks continue to offer lower rates, struggling against fierce competition from government securities and small savings schemes.
Indian bonds hold tight range ahead of RBI policy meeting
Amidst cautious market dynamics, Indian government bonds show signs of stability as investors refrain from placing new bets ahead of a potential interest rate hike from the Reserve Bank of India. With looming geopolitical factors and a softer U.S. jobs report suggesting a pause in rate increases by the Federal Reserve, investor sentiment shifts. Additionally, the upcoming quarter marks a significant surge in bond sales planned by Indian states.
RBI likely to hold repo rate in Oct policy, begin 50-75 bps hike cycle in Dec: BoB
The Reserve Bank of India is set to maintain the repo rate at 5.25% during the upcoming policy meeting. Despite rising inflation pressures and global economic uncertainty, the rate is expected to remain unchanged. Credit and deposit growth in India currently show strong performance, supporting steady rates. A rate hike cycle is anticipated to begin in December, amounting to 50-75 basis points.
RBI MPC begins 3-day meeting today amid expectations of first rate hike since 2023
The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee is meeting to discuss potential interest rate hikes. Inflationary pressures and external factors are leading to anticipation of a rate increase. Analysts expect a 25 basis points hike in the upcoming policy announcement. This decision aligns with current inflation trends and economic forecasts for the country. The market is closely monitoring these developments as they will impact future economic stability.
Markets bet on RBI rate hike as inflation pressure builds
As inflation concerns rise, investors are putting their faith in the Reserve Bank of India to implement an interest rate hike. A survey reveals that nearly 60% of economists believe a 25-basis-point increase is likely at the coming policy meeting. With an eye on foreign investment, expectations are growing for a tightening cycle to kick off in October, setting the stage for how future capital flows will be managed.
RBI likely to hike repo rate by 25 bps to 5.50% in October policy: ET Poll
On Monday, the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee will hold important meetings. Analysts are anticipating a 25 basis points increase in the key interest rate, raising it to 5.50%. The surge in inflation is attributed to elevated crude oil costs and subpar agricultural production. Many economists advocate for a rate hike as a crucial measure to tackle ongoing inflation issues, with outcomes to be revealed on October 7.
RBI could keep rates higher for longer amid global and local risks
With global financial risks in the spotlight, the Reserve Bank of India is indicating a shift towards higher interest rates. Governor Sanjay Malhotra has highlighted emerging challenges, including significant global debt levels and surging asset prices. The rise in US treasury yields and crude oil costs suggests trials ahead for the Indian economy.
RBI may hike repo rate by 25 bps as inflation and oil risks mount: Sunil Sanghai
The RBI could raise the repo rate by 25 basis points in October and signal further tightening as inflation, elevated crude prices and a narrowing rate gap with the US pressure the rupee. Strong reserves and a manageable current account provide crucial buffers.
RBI repo rate may climb to 6% in FY27; G-Sec yields face upward pressure: Report
RBI is expected to raise the repo rate by 25 basis points in October, with one or two more hikes possible in FY27, taking the benchmark rate to 5.75-6%, according to a Union Bank of India report.
Will Nifty, Sensex plunge for 9th straight week? TCS Q2, RBI MPC among 4 factors to drive Dalal Street from Monday
India's stock market has faced a challenging downturn, marking eight weeks of losses, the longest in 25 years. Driving this trend are soaring oil prices and rising US bond yields. The sell-off by foreign institutional investors has intensified the downturn. As companies like TCS and DMart prepare for their Q2 earnings, investors hope for signs of resilience amidst a weaker rupee fueling their concerns.
SBI Research sees CPI inflation at 5.65% in Sept, above 6.5% in Oct-Nov
SBI Research forecasts a rise in CPI inflation to around 5.65 percent in September. They expect it to exceed 6.5 percent during October and November. Inflationary pressures have broadened significantly since the last monetary policy meeting. Additionally, the weakening rupee poses further risks to economic stability. The Reserve Bank of India may adjust its GDP growth and inflation projections during the upcoming policy review.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: Rupee under pressure, inflation sticky: Will RBI be forced to rethink rates? Ankita Pathak, Ionic Asset
With the Fed entering a tightening cycle, India faces a tougher monetary policy trade-off as the rupee remains under pressure and inflation shows signs of broadening. Ankita Pathak of Ionic Asset says RBI’s policy flexibility could narrow, while elevated US yields and a stronger dollar may weigh on Indian equities and capital flows.
10-year bond yield breaches 7.20%; hits 2.5-year high
India's 10-year benchmark bond yields have surged to 7.21%, reaching their highest point in two and a half years. With oil prices continuing to soar and an anticipated rate hike, analysts predict these yields could escalate to 7.50% if the Reserve Bank of India enacts a 25 basis point increase. A substantial bond issuance is on the horizon, adding complexity to the supply-demand landscape.
Global Markets: Asian shares fall after wild swings in bonds, FX before US jobs data
Asian stock markets dipped as investors navigated through the turbulence of bond and currency fluctuations. Elevated oil prices, driven by military strains in the Gulf region, added to the market's unease. Speculations around high US Treasury yields and fiscal instability in Europe, especially concerning French bonds, also weighed heavily. Furthermore, traders keep a close eye on upcoming US job data that may sway Federal Reserve policy.
Global bond rout hoists benchmark Indian yield to mid-2024 high before RBI policy
A significant selloff in Indian government bonds occurred as global yields rose and inflation pressures heightened. The Indian benchmark 10-year yield reached its highest level since April 2024. Traders expect the Reserve Bank of India to announce a rate hike at its upcoming policy meeting next week. Additionally, concerns regarding excessive liquidity in the banking system have intensified amid upcoming bond issues.
India bonds slide as US Treasury rout, supply weigh
Indian government bonds experienced a decline as US Treasury yields rose and supply increased ahead of the Reserve Bank of India meeting. The benchmark bond yield reached its highest level in two and a half years. Market analysts expect the RBI to raise interest rates for the first time since 2023. Additionally, bond market activity was affected by global economic conditions and expectations of further rate hikes.
Rupee lingers around bottom of Asia FX pile as global headwinds deepen
The Indian rupee has experienced a decline impacted by elevated crude prices and increasing global bond yields. During the last quarter, the currency fell 1.2%, and monthly losses reached 0.7%. Despite the downturn, the Reserve Bank of India managed to stabilize the rupee through interventions and support measures. Analysts expect the upcoming monetary policy decision to influence the currency's future movement.
Will RBI rate hikes intensify selloff in bank stocks? Analysts explain why fears may be overdone
Bank shares have endured steep declines as investors brace for imminent interest rate hikes from the RBI. Some analysts suggest that the recent selloff may be excessive, presenting an opportunity to pick up quality stocks at lower prices. The forthcoming Monetary Policy Committee meeting will clarify the scope of any rate changes. Although there are immediate margin concerns, the overall asset quality in the banking sector remains stable.
India 10-year bond snaps four-day losing run as US yields ease
On Tuesday, Indian government bonds rebounded, marking the end of a four-day downturn spurred by softer US Treasury yields and declining crude oil prices. Despite this rally, apprehensions linger over persistently high global yields and the risk of inflation. The Reserve Bank of India may soon increase rates, complicating the bond landscape further. Additionally, significant factors like banking system liquidity and debt supply continue to challenge the market.
India bonds edge up on short covering as US yields cool
Indian government bonds experienced a rise after a sharp selloff raised benchmark yields. US Treasury yields decreased, leading to investors unwinding their short positions. Reports of potential US-Iran talks contributed to the buying momentum observed in the market. Concerns over inflation and global borrowing costs have influenced expectations for a Reserve Bank of India rate hike.
Nifty Bank crashes 1,800 points in 2 days, slips below 54K for first time in 4 months. What’s next?
Banking stocks have come under heavy pressure, with the Nifty Bank index plunging nearly 1,800 points in two days and slipping below 54,000 for the first time since early June. The selloff has been driven by concerns over potential RBI rate hikes and rising bond yields.
Broadening inflation, robust growth, global hikes build case for India RBI tightening
The RBI is under growing pressure to raise rates in October as inflation broadens across the economy, growth remains strong and global central banks tighten policy. A Reuters poll shows most economists expect a 25-basis-point hike to 5.50%, while markets are already pricing in further increases over the next year.
Load More
