YARDENI RESEARCH
Markets look past conflict as investors bet on long-term growth: Ed Yardeni
Global equity markets are navigating uncertainty, with investor sentiment suggesting the worst of the sell-off may be over. Market participants are increasingly focused on long-term opportunities, particularly in technology, as geopolitical tensions unfold. While oil prices are expected to remain elevated, they are not seen as prohibitively high for the global economy.
Markets stay resilient even as geopolitical uncertainty lingers: Ed Yardeni
Global markets signal resilience despite Middle East geopolitical tensions and uncertain ceasefire talks. Market strategist Ed Yardeni notes that while the ground reality remains volatile, markets are looking beyond current disruptions, anticipating a resolution within months. The bond market's calm, however, raises questions about inflation and defense spending.
Global Market | Strait of Hormuz closure keeping oil markets on edge: Ed Yardeni
Global oil markets are on edge as geopolitical tensions disrupt the vital Strait of Hormuz. Market strategist Ed Yardeni highlights uncertainty over the strait's reopening as the primary driver of oil sentiment. He believes stability hinges on de-escalation and the diminishing threat to tanker traffic, with tangible normalcy only appearing when ships navigate safely.
Why is US stock market crashing again today? Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq in deep red as oil and silver surge while gold prices crash
US stock market crash today deepened as the Dow Jones plunged nearly 700 points, the S&P 500 dropped over 1%, and the Nasdaq slid sharply. The trigger is a sudden oil price surge above $100 per barrel, with WTI crude near $101 and Brent crude around $102. Silver prices are climbing, while gold prices slipped despite market turmoil. Investors now fear stagflation in the U.S. economy. Rising oil prices, bond yields, and geopolitical tensions are driving volatility across global markets and fueling the latest US stock market sell-off.
From Tokyo to Sydney, bonds plunge as oil breaches $115
Global bonds experienced a sharp decline on Monday. A worsening U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran propelled oil prices past $115 per barrel. This surge fueled investor concerns about inflation and future interest rate decisions. Major oil producers reduced supplies, disrupting shipping routes. Bond yields rose significantly, reflecting a shift in market sentiment.
Fresh Middle East curve ball raises risks for weary world markets
Conflict in the Middle East has moved from a fringe risk to a top worry for investors unsettled by the prospect of a power struggle in Iran and a protracted regional war, with ramifications for everything from global trade to inflation.
- Go To Page 1
Decoded: The viral doomsday AI memo that roiled Wall Street
A viral 7,000-word Substack essay by Citrini Research founder James van Geelen sparked a sharp selloff on Wall Street by outlining a hypothetical 2028 “Global Intelligence Crisis.” The scenario imagines AI wiping out white-collar jobs, crushing software revenues, straining credit and housing markets, and triggering a deflationary economic cascade.
Bitcoin price (BTC USD) could crash to $10,000 as markets face 2008-style turmoil, Bloomberg analyst warns
Bitcoin BTC USD price crash prediction: Bitcoin faces a potential 87% downturn, possibly reaching $10,000, according to Mike McGlone. This grim forecast follows a 20% drop in two weeks and a 40% decline from its all-time high. The warning coincides with market selloffs triggered by Kevin Warsh's hawkish Fed nomination and geopolitical tensions.
Gold price prediction, Jan. 30: Gold could hit $10,000 an ounce by April, AI predicts — here’s how silver, platinum, and copper are reacting to gold’s rally
Gold price prediction, Jan. 30: Gold could hit $10,000 an ounce by April, AI predicts. On Jan. 30, 2026, gold trades near $5,139.60, holding firm after a volatile week. AI models now project a massive surge to $10,000 by April. This "anti-fiat" rally stems from record central bank buying and a weakening U.S. dollar. Silver reacts sharply at $102.14, while Platinum holds at $2,345.70. Copper tracks global demand at $6.08. Investors are exiting paper assets for physical safety.
Markets resilient amid Trump tariff noise, earnings strength to drive double-digit returns in 2026: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research says global markets have grown resilient to Trump’s tariff rhetoric, focusing instead on earnings and economic strength. He expects double-digit returns in 2026, sees S&P 500 earnings hitting record levels, and forecasts US bond yields at 4.25–4.75% as the bond market pushes back against Fed rate cuts.
Markets stay calm as Venezuela shock fails to rattle global equities: Ed Yardeni
Global markets show resilience despite geopolitical events. Investors remain composed, with equities holding firm. Gold saw a safe-haven rush, while oil prices showed little reaction. Energy stocks outperformed. Experts believe the US economy and global markets are proving resilient. Emerging markets, including India, are expected to perform well this year.
Ed Yardeni expects 25 basis point Fed rate cut this week
Economist Ed Yardeni anticipates ongoing US trade tensions under President Trump, viewing tariffs as a negotiation tool. He notes the US economy's resilience with strong GDP growth despite a weak labor market. Yardeni also expects a 25 basis point Fed rate cut, with the market watching for dovish or hawkish signals.
Rate cut speculation and Fed Chair rumors keeping markets on edge: Ed Yardeni
Markets anticipate a December interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This shift follows dovish signals from Fed officials. Investors also await the announcement of the next Fed chair. Economic data allows for varied interpretations, but suggests conditions for a rate cut. The technology sector shows increased stock selectivity, with Google currently favored over Nvidia amid competitive AI advancements.
Strong earnings continue to drive US markets despite policy volatility: Ed Yardeni
Market experts remain cautious following the government shutdown, with continued Washington turbulence fueling uncertainty. However, strong corporate earnings and resilient consumer spending are driving the U.S. stock market higher, offsetting policy-induced volatility. Experts anticipate ongoing global trade realignments and potential political drama in January.
Macroeconomic resilience leaves little room for Fed rate cut in 2025: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research suggests President Trump's criticism of Fed Chair Powell risks undermining the Fed's credibility and impacting financial markets. While Trump may aim to weaken the dollar, Yardeni believes the Fed's independence is crucial.
India positioned as top EM winner in US trade reset: Ed Yardeni
In the current situation, we have Trump going into the room by himself and coming out every now and then and telling us that things will be okay. So, we have to kind of conclude that it is in both countries interests to come up with some accommodation and so it will be incremental but clearly, there will be some pain in the trade relationship between the United States and China.
US market seems more affected by tariff scenario; Fed likely to maintain status quo: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni from Yardeni Research analyzes the weakening US stock market, with the Magnificent Seven declining by 15% since the start of the year. Other markets like Germany, China, and India are showing resilience. He suggests that global money movements and tariff impacts could influence the Fed's potential rate cuts amidst uncertain inflation prospects.
Global investors will continue to be overweight US but EMs like India cannot be overlooked: ED Yardeni
ED Yardeni of Yardeni Research advises not reducing exposure in the US due to its strong economy and pro-business government. While tariffs from Trump's administration are a concern, his unpredictability makes predictions difficult. India shows strong economic growth and stock market performance, making it a promising opportunity, though other emerging markets require selective investment.
Ed Yardeni sees Fed pausing rate cuts for 2024 after jobs report
The Federal Reserve's rate-cut campaign for 2024 may have ended due to a strong labor report, signaling economic resilience. Wall Street experts, including Ed Yardeni and Larry Summers, criticize further easing, fearing inflation risks. Investors and economists debate the central bank's future policy moves.
Not economic slowdown, semiconductor unwinding triggered by monopoly probe against Nvidia: ED Yardeni
ED Yardeni of Yardeni Research links the Nvidia-led tech selloff to a monopoly investigation rather than fears of an economic slowdown. He argues that the US economy is returning to pre-pandemic norms and anticipates strong employment figures. Yardeni also contrasts China's current economic challenges with India's potential for significant growth in the coming years.
September rate cut likely if inflation moderates: ED Yardeni
Well, look, there is really no rush for them to lower interest rates. The economy is doing fine. The labour markets, as the Fed chair said a few times, the labour market is normalising and so he is not characterising the labour market as weakening.
What the fresh march higher in oil means for world markets
Oil prices are up around 16% so far this year near $90 a barrel, with supply worries high given escalating Middle East tensions and tit-for-tat attacks on energy infrastructure between Ukraine and Russia.
Investors brace for a volatile week on D-Street
"Investors need to brace themselves for increased volatility in the coming week, given the heightened geo-political temperatures," said Aamar Deo Singh, Sr. Vice President, Research, Angel One.
Expect only two Fed rate cuts this year and that too in the second half: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni believes the Fed is achieving its goals with declining inflation. He predicts two rate cuts in the second half of the year, rather than the first half, and sees no rush for further rate cuts. He has been bullish on this market since November 2022. He has been riding this bull really almost since the beginning
Expect 2-3 rate cuts by US Fed in 2024: Ed Yardeni
“The main reason why the Fed will be lowering interest rates next year is because if they do not and inflation comes down, that will be making the federal funds rate, in real terms, inflation adjusted even higher. I do not think they are going to want to do that.”
Fed is not going to declare victory on inflation: Ed Yardeni
They do not want to destroy all the progress that has been made in getting people employed. And so I do not think they are going to declare victory on inflation.
Sensex rises to 4-Mth high on US cues; FPIs stepping up buys to take it higher
"Those results are consistent with our view that inflation is peaking but remains too high," said Ed Yardeni, founder and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research, in a note to clients. "So, we expect that the Fed will hike the federal funds rate again by 75 bps in September then pause rate-hiking for the rest of this year."
S&P 500 targets are being slashed
The conflict and the price shock could chill investment and consumer spending just as the Federal Reserve prepares to embark on a series of interest-rate hikes to damp inflation, which was already high on pandemic-era effects.
Load More
