OIL PRICES VOLATILITY
Market, rupee fortunes may prove fickle amid Iran flareup
Markets brace for renewed turmoil as Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices soaring. This sharp reversal follows Friday's optimism after the maritime channel's opening. Stocks and the rupee face challenges, with the rupee expected to weaken against the dollar due to rising crude prices.
Aluminium prices at record highs: What’s driving the rally and what’s next?
Aluminium prices have surged to multi-year highs, driven by strong demand, supply constraints, and rising energy costs. Geopolitical tensions and declining inventories have added volatility and a risk premium. With China’s demand robust and supply tight, the outlook remains firm, though risks from easing tensions or slowdown persist.
Gold price prediction: Bullion experts predict likely gold rate for next few months. Details here
Gold rate prediction: Gold is well-positioned in the current global environment and could gain whether the economy weakens into stagflation or improves amid falling interest rates.
Financial resilience must include India’s credit-invisible workforce
India's strong digital finance infrastructure faces a challenge. Many informal workers lack financial resilience due to volatile incomes and limited savings. Global disruptions increase their budget stress.
Crude oil, copper, gold: The 3 commodities every beginner should track (and why they move!)
Crude oil, copper, and gold are essential for new traders to grasp global market movements. Crude oil reflects energy trends, copper signals economic growth, and gold acts as a safe haven during uncertainty. Understanding these commodities provides a strategic advantage for informed trading decisions. Their price movements impact inflation, stock markets, and everyday life.
Traders place $760 million bet on falling oil ahead of Hormuz announcement
Just ahead of pivotal updates concerning the Strait of Hormuz and Iran, lucrative oil trades totaling millions were executed, raising eyebrows among U.S. officials. Such timely trades have prompted a thorough investigation into several oil futures transactions made right before key policy changes, with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission now scrutinizing the details of these deals.
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Why are oil prices down by 10% and US stock market indexes, Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq, up now? Here's if Strait of Hormuz is fully open now
Why are oil prices down by 10% and US stock market indexes, Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq, up now? Oil prices fell by more than 10% after Iran said the Strait of Hormuz is open again. Stock markets rose across the world. Investors reacted to hopes of easing tensions between the United States and Iran. Lower oil prices reduced inflation fears and supported companies with high fuel costs. Markets now watch diplomacy and shipping safety updates.

GIFT Nifty jumps over 300 points after oil price crash. What to expect on Monday?
Indian markets are set for a strong opening as GIFT Nifty surged over 300 points tracking falling crude prices and easing tensions with support from Dow Jones Industrial Average strength and improving global risk sentiment

Why are US stock market futures up now, and will Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue to stay in green or turn red again? Wall Street futures, US stocks to watch, analysts insights, market outlook and what should investors do now
Why are US stock market futures up now, and will Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue to stay in green or turn red again? US stock futures moved higher as hopes of Middle East peace improved investor mood. Technology stocks gained interest again while investors tracked earnings and oil supply risks. Markets may stay supported if talks continue. However, risks remain from Iran talks and oil supply disruptions.

Consistent inflows in weak markets reflects investor maturity, says V Srivatsa, UTI AMC
Despite sustained FII selling, strong domestic mutual fund inflows are helping stabilise markets, reflecting a structural shift in investor behaviour. V Srivatsa of UTI AMC highlighted rising investor maturity, elevated mid- and small-cap valuations, and advised a balanced asset allocation with a tilt towards largecaps and hybrid funds amid global uncertainties.

Oil Price Today (April 17): Crude oil prices fall on Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, Iran war peace talks. Is the worst over?
Oil prices dipped as Middle East tensions eased with a Lebanon-Israel ceasefire and potential US-Iran talks. President Trump indicated a deal with Iran was close, following a 10-day truce that removes a key obstacle to negotiations. Experts anticipate continued volatility but expect prices to remain supported.

GIFT Nifty hints at positive start; here's trading setup for the day
Indian equities closed lower amid weekly expiry volatility, with support seen at 23,450-23,100 and resistance at 24,400. Global markets showed mixed signals, with US stocks inching higher on ceasefire hopes. The Indian rupee strengthened, while Brent crude prices dipped.

RBI asks state oil refiners to curb spot dollar buying, sources say
India's central bank is taking action to support the rupee. State-run oil refiners are being asked to use a special credit line for dollar needs instead of buying on the spot market. This move aims to reduce pressure on the Indian currency. The Reserve Bank of India is employing measures similar to those used during the Ukraine war.

War or no war: 5 ways to profit in a volatile stock market driven by geopolitics
Markets have been driven more by geopolitical headlines than fundamentals in recent weeks, with sharp swings triggered by developments around the Iran conflict. Despite a partial recovery, indices remain below earlier levels and elevated oil prices continue to pose risks. In this volatile environment, experts stress that disciplined investing matters more than trying to predict market moves.

Oil Price Today (April 16): Crude oil hovers below $95 amid Iran war peace talks. Where are prices headed?
Oil prices stayed below $95 as hopes of a US-Iran deal cooled supply concerns, with near-term direction hinging on progress in geopolitical talks and actual restoration of supply flows.

Gold price drops 0.7% to $4,807 today—should investors panic now as gold and silver prices risk a 10% crash with US-Iran deal still out of sight and crude oil threat rising?
Gold, silver rates crash fears intensify as prices already dropped sharply. Gold is down over 8%. Silver has plunged more than 16%. This comes during the US–Iran war. Crude oil now threatens to cross $120 per barrel. This is a critical trigger point. High oil pushes inflation higher. It keeps interest rates elevated. The Federal Reserve stays hawkish. The dollar strengthens further. That reduces bullion demand globally. If this trend continues, gold and silver rates crash risk remains high. Another 10% fall looks possible soon.

Why are US stock market futures largely unchanged and Nasdaq up while Dow Jones and S&P 500 flat? Wall Street futures, key US stocks, analyst views, market outlook and what should investors do now
Why are US stock market futures largely unchanged and Nasdaq up while Dow Jones and S&P 500 flat? Futures stayed steady as investors paused after a rally and waited for earnings, Federal Reserve comments, and Middle East updates. Bank earnings, oil prices, and global growth outlook shaped sentiment. Technology stocks gained slightly. Analysts discussed risks, opportunities, and investor strategies as markets assessed the next move and future milestones.

Virgin Australia flags higher fuel costs amid the Mideast conflict
Virgin Australia anticipates a significant increase in fuel costs, projecting an additional A$30 million to A$40 million for the latter half of fiscal 2026 due to Middle East conflict-driven price volatility. Despite this, the airline maintains its full-year financial outlook, expecting stronger second-half earnings and improved revenue per available seat kilometre.

ETMarkets Smart Talk| Nifty50 at 20x looks attractive, but markets are not out of the woods yet, says Ritesh Taksali
Despite recent corrections, the Nifty 50 appears reasonably valued at around 20x earnings, says Ritesh Taksali, though he warns markets are “not out of the woods yet.” Persistent risks from oil prices, inflation, and geopolitics are likely to keep volatility elevated in FY27.

ETMarkets Smart Talk | FY27 volatility a phase of adjustment, not a trend reversal; India’s growth story intact: Rajesh Iyer
FY27 begins with market volatility due to geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices, but experts see it as an adjustment phase. India's strong structural growth, supported by domestic consumption and public capex, offers constructive medium- to long-term prospects with stock-specific opportunities.

Shelter from Spike 'n' Supply Storm: West Asia tensions test India Inc’s resilience to energy shocks
Escalating tensions in West Asia highlight India’s vulnerability to energy and logistics disruptions. Even without supply cuts, higher freight and insurance costs can strain margins and widen deficits. Strong balance sheets offer a cushion, but prolonged volatility could test corporate earnings, capital expenditure plans, and the broader credit cycle.

US producer prices increase less than expected in March
America's producer prices saw a smaller than anticipated rise in March. Services costs remained steady. However, escalating energy prices, driven by the conflict with Iran, are fueling inflation. This data reflects early impacts of the Middle East situation. Oil prices have surged significantly. Consumer prices also saw a notable increase, particularly gasoline and diesel.

What’s happening with Brent crude and African crude prices, and why physical oil hits $150 as Europe pays record premiums amid Strait of Hormuz disruption and global supply shock fears
Brent crude and WTI oil prices are under sharp focus as physical crude for Europe has surged near $150 a barrel, based on LSEG data. This gap between futures and real oil signals a live supply crunch. The Strait of Hormuz disruption has tightened global flows. Traders are scrambling for immediate cargoes. African crude prices are also hitting fresh highs. This shows replacement demand is rising fast. Fuel shortage risks are building across Europe and Asia. Inflation pressure is returning. Energy markets are turning volatile again.

Can Trump’s Iran blockade plunge India into an 'everything crisis'?
India has so far managed the oil shock from the Iran war through policy buffers, diversified crude sourcing and intervention by the Reserve Bank of India, keeping inflation and supply chains stable. However, the proposed US naval blockade of Iranian ports by Donald Trump risks escalating the situation and disrupting energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz, potentially driving oil prices higher and prolonging the shock.

Gold falls 1%, silver drops by Rs 5,300/kg as US-Iran ceasefire hopes fade. What should investors do?
Gold and silver prices tumbled on Monday as escalating Middle East tensions and failed US-Iran peace talks spurred demand for safe-haven assets. The Strait of Hormuz blockade threat by the US and Iran's stern warning fueled inflation worries, dampening hopes for Fed rate cuts. Investors are advised to await clarity on the US-Iran situation before making investment decisions.

Navigating the stock market turbulence
The recent temporary truce between the US and Iran has injected a surge of optimism into the markets. Conversely, India finds itself cautious as escalating oil prices threaten its economic balance and corporate earnings. While immediate fluctuations loom, the horizon for India's equities looks promising, bolstered by a resurgence in consumer spending and steady policy frameworks.

Donald Trump says oil, gas prices could swing either way before midterms
Donald Trump has commented on the fluctuating prices of oil and gas. He believes these costs could either decrease or increase before the upcoming US midterm elections. This statement underscores the current unpredictability in global energy markets. Geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions are key factors influencing these price movements. The situation remains uncertain as the elections approach.

Hours before truce, traders placed bets worth $950M on a crude fall
Investors made a massive $950 million bet on oil prices dropping. This happened just hours before the US and Iran announced a ceasefire. The move followed a similar large wager before a previous Trump announcement. Such big bets are unusual, especially when executed late in trading. The market reacted significantly to both events.

What’s happening with WTI and Brent crude oil today? Why oil prices are surging $1 every hour—and will Brent cross $110 next?
What’s happening with WTI and Brent crude oil today? Why oil prices are surging $1 every hour. Oil price today is rising at an extraordinary pace across global energy markets. Brent crude is hovering near the $100 mark again. WTI crude is also climbing sharply with intraday gains nearing $1 every hour. Brent crude jumped over 12% within just 24 hours recently. WTI crude followed with similar sharp gains across trading sessions. These moves are rare and usually tied to supply shocks or war-like conditions. Fresh tensions between the United States and Iran are reshaping market expectations quickly. Supply fears are building as traders react to uncertain shipping flows and rising conflict risks.
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