OIL PRICE PREDICTIONS
Is the RBI fighting the wrong battle? Why rate hikes may not solve India’s current inflation problem
Rising oil prices due to the West Asia conflict have lifted inflation expectations, but underlying demand in India remains weak. Despite market signals pointing to possible rate hikes, historical trends and current macro conditions suggest the RBI may hold off, favouring supportive monetary policy amid fragile growth and supply-driven inflation pressures.
U.S. Stock Market prediction for Monday: S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq set for volatile trading, to be driven by these factors
U.S. Stock Market today: Oil prices have jumped, and the U.S. dollar rose. S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq futures fell in the pre-market trading.
Long-term bonds are cheap now; patient investors may gain big, says Rahul Goswami of Franklin Templeton
Rate cuts are off the table, inflation is creeping up, and the Strait of Hormuz remains a wildcard. In a candid interview with ET Wealth’s Kayezad E. Adajania, Rahul Goswami of Franklin Templeton, sees a clear opportunity in long-dated bonds for investors who can stomach near-term volatility.
U.S.-Iran war latest update: Donald Trump claims Iran cargo ship seized, warns of airstrikes, Tehran rejects peace talks ahead of ceasefire deadline
Iran-U.S. war: United States of America has maintained a blockade of Iranian ports, while Iran has lifted and then reimposed its own blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which before the war began almost two months ago handled roughly one-fifth of the world's oil supply.
IMF, World Bank meetings show limits in mitigating shocks, reliance on US for solutions
Global finance leaders met amid Middle East war news. They acknowledged their limited ability to counter economic damage from frequent geopolitical shocks. Reliance on U.S. leadership for crisis resolution is no longer assured. The IMF and World Bank pledged aid to developing nations. Officials expressed frustration with ongoing economic calamities.
Gold price prediction: Bullion experts predict likely gold rate for next few months. Details here
Gold rate prediction: Gold is well-positioned in the current global environment and could gain whether the economy weakens into stagflation or improves amid falling interest rates.
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GIFT Nifty jumps over 300 points after oil price crash. What to expect on Monday?
Indian markets are set for a strong opening as GIFT Nifty surged over 300 points tracking falling crude prices and easing tensions with support from Dow Jones Industrial Average strength and improving global risk sentiment
Will gold price reach $4,900 or fall towards $4,500 and silver rate touch $90 or slip below $60 this month? Market outlook, analysts insights and investor strategy
Will gold price reach $4,900 or fall towards $4,500 and silver rate touch $90 or slip below $60 this month? Gold held steady and moved toward a fourth weekly gain as hopes of a US-Iran peace deal shaped inflation and interest rate expectations. The dollar fell and oil eased. Indian banks paused imports. Silver gained momentum. Analysts now discuss price targets, risks, and investor strategy for this month.
Iran war: HUL hikes prices of Dove, Pears, Surf, Red Label
Hindustan Unilever Limited has increased prices for its soap products. This move is a response to escalating costs of raw materials and packaging. The price hikes, ranging from Re 1 to Rs 20, are being passed on to consumers. This development could potentially delay a much-needed revival in consumer demand. FMCG companies were hoping for a boost from GST cuts.
War or no war: 5 ways to profit in a volatile stock market driven by geopolitics
Markets have been driven more by geopolitical headlines than fundamentals in recent weeks, with sharp swings triggered by developments around the Iran conflict. Despite a partial recovery, indices remain below earlier levels and elevated oil prices continue to pose risks. In this volatile environment, experts stress that disciplined investing matters more than trying to predict market moves.
US probes suspicious oil trades made before Trump's Iran pivots, source says
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission is probing suspicious, well-timed oil futures trades made ahead of major shifts in Donald Trump’s Iran policy, amid concerns of potential insider trading.
Oil Price Today (April 16): Crude oil hovers below $95 amid Iran war peace talks. Where are prices headed?
Oil prices stayed below $95 as hopes of a US-Iran deal cooled supply concerns, with near-term direction hinging on progress in geopolitical talks and actual restoration of supply flows.
Indian officials see Iran war oil shock as disruptive as Covid
India is drawing on its Covid-era playbook to cushion the economic blow from the Iran war, with officials warning the disruption to energy supplies could rival the pandemic, threatening growth, widening the fiscal deficit, and pushing the rupee to record lows.
Social Security COLA 2027 prediction: 2.8% increase likely as inflation hits 2-year high, retirees still struggle
Social Security COLA for 2027 may be around 2.8% as inflation rises again. Higher oil prices are making daily things expensive, which affects retirees the most. Even if benefits increase, it may not be enough to cover basic needs. Many people on fixed income could still struggle as living costs keep going up slowly.
IMF cuts global growth outlook for 2026, warns of potential recession if Iran war worsens
The International Monetary Fund has cut its global growth outlook, warning the economy could near recession if the Middle East conflict keeps oil above $100. It now sees 3.1% growth in 2026, but this could drop to 2.5% or even 2.0% in a severe scenario, alongside rising inflation, with emerging markets hit hardest while India remains a relative bright spot.
Why is Donald Trump claiming Iran war 'very close to over' just before opening of US stock markets? Full explainer on Iran war, oil prices, Strait of Hormuz blockade, and US stock market outlook
Why is Donald Trump claiming Iran war 'very close to over' just before opening of US stock markets? The Iran war, Strait of Hormuz blockade, oil prices, China role, troop deployment, and US stock market expectations are shaping global markets. The statement comes before US trading hours and signals possible diplomacy. Investors are watching negotiations, shipping routes, and supply disruptions closely as peace talks may restart soon.
Trump says oil prices will drop 'very big' after he ends Iran war
President Donald Trump predicts a substantial drop in oil prices once the Iran war concludes. He indicated that fuel costs could stabilize or slightly increase by the November congressional elections. However, in a later interview, Trump clarified his stance, expressing satisfaction with oil prices around 92 US dollars per barrel.
Iran war upends IEA's oil market outlook as global supply and demand to contract in 2026
The International Energy Agency forecasts a global oil supply and demand fall due to the Iran war, citing the largest supply disruption in history. Demand growth is now predicted to drop by 80,000 bpd, with significant cuts in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. Global output is expected to decrease by 1.5 million bpd this year.
Peak oil price likely to come 'in next few weeks,' US Energy secretary says
Oil prices are likely to peak in the coming weeks as shipping traffic gradually resumes through the Strait of Hormuz, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said on Monday.
Bitcoin braces for $2.8 billion tax sell-off ahead of April 15 deadline as fear hits crypto market and traders eye post-tax BTC USD rally
BTC USD price prediction April 2026: Bitcoin is facing a tense stretch ahead of the April 15 IRS deadline, with up to $2.8 billion in tax-driven selling expected to hit the market. Weak sentiment, war uncertainty, and low futures activity are adding pressure. Analysts suggest conditions could shift once selling eases after the deadline passes.
Navigating the stock market turbulence
The recent temporary truce between the US and Iran has injected a surge of optimism into the markets. Conversely, India finds itself cautious as escalating oil prices threaten its economic balance and corporate earnings. While immediate fluctuations loom, the horizon for India's equities looks promising, bolstered by a resurgence in consumer spending and steady policy frameworks.
What is gold and silver price prediction for Monday, and will precious metals continue to rise or fall again? Analysts insights, market outlook and what should investors do now
What is gold and silver price prediction for Monday, and will precious metals continue to rise or fall again? Gold moved toward a weekly gain as the US dollar weakened after a US-Iran truce. Inflation data and interest rate expectations also shaped sentiment. Silver and other metals moved higher during the week. Investors now watch geopolitical risks, interest rates, and inflation signals to understand the next move for precious metals.
What is US stock market prediction for Monday, and will Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq stay in red or turn green? Wall Street prediction and US stocks to watch
What is US stock market prediction for Monday, and will Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq stay in red or turn green? Wall Street prediction shows mixed signals after inflation data, Middle East tensions, and weekly gains. Analysts insights and market outlook suggest cautious trading. US stocks to watch include chipmakers and earnings reports. Investors now ask what should investors do now as markets react to inflation, geopolitics, and earnings season.
Macro buffers to help India tide over Gulf crisis: World Bank
India's economic growth for FY27 is projected at 6.6 percent. The World Bank notes potential risks from the Gulf conflict impacting global energy prices. However, India's economy is strong, supported by reserves and low inflation. Growth is expected to average 7.1 percent from FY28 to FY29. Boosting private sector growth is key for job creation and achieving Viksit Bharat.
Barclays: Delay in Hormuz flow recovery poses upside risks to $85/b Brent forecast
Barclays on Thursday said that a swift normalization of flows through the Strait of Hormuz aligns with its forecast of Brent crude oil averaging $85 a barrel in 2026, but warned that delays in restoring traffic or any further escalation could push prices higher from current levels.
He predicted 2008 crash — now he says Bitcoin (BTC USD) could collapse to zero. Should crypto investors worry?
Bitcoin BTC USD price crash prediction to zero: Economist Steve Keen, known for past financial crisis warnings, predicts Bitcoin could become worthless. He cites its high energy usage as a major weakness. As global pressure to cut energy consumption mounts, cryptocurrencies may face policy action.
Oil gains 4% as fragile ceasefire, Hormuz restrictions keep supply risks elevated
Oil prices rose on Thursday as doubts over a fragile two-week Middle East ceasefire raised concerns that energy flows through the crucial Strait of Hormuz will remain restricted.
Price hikes on the horizon: Expect a hit on your budget as Iran war's impact becomes clear
Indian consumer firms are seeing rising costs from higher crude oil prices. This could lead to price increases soon. Companies are trying to manage these pressures. A below-normal monsoon also poses a risk to rural demand. The West Asia conflict has added to economic uncertainty. Consumers may face higher prices as companies adjust.
Global Market Today | Oil dives, Asian stocks surge as Trump agrees to two-week ceasefire
Oil prices plunged and stocks surged Wednesday following a two-week ceasefire in the Middle East. U.S. President Trump announced an agreement to suspend attacks on Iran, easing fears of a prolonged conflict that had disrupted oil and gas flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Markets reacted positively to the potential for renewed energy transit and a long-term peace deal.
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