INDIAN IT SECTOR OUTLOOK
India growth resilient, markets near correction: HDFC Securities
India's economy is set for robust growth. Real GDP is projected at 6.5 percent for FY26-FY27. Nominal GDP will expand between 10 to 11 percent. Inflation is expected to ease to 4.5 percent. Fiscal deficit targets are set at 4.3 percent. Retail investor participation remains strong. Markets may be nearing the bottom of the current correction cycle.
Indian market faces AI narrative problem; it'll be smallcaps over largecaps for next 5 years: Manish Gunwani
Indian stock market valuations are attractive. However, global investor focus on Artificial Intelligence is diverting capital away from emerging markets like India. Foreign institutional investor flows are expected to remain subdued unless the AI theme slows or India implements significant structural reforms. Bandhan AMC is investing in manufacturing exporters and metals. The IT sector faces a long-term slowdown.
MSME manufacturing sector expands in Jan-March period but growth moderates amid West Asia crisis: PHDCCI survey
India's MSME manufacturing sector continued to grow in early 2026. However, expansion slowed due to global issues, especially the West Asia crisis. This crisis caused longer shipping times and higher costs. Business activity saw new orders and production increase, but hiring remained steady. The outlook for the next quarter is positive but cautious. Policy support is vital for sustained growth.
MSME activity expands but loses steam as global headwinds bite: PHDCCI survey
India's manufacturing MSME sector continues to expand. However, growth momentum is slowing. New orders and production are increasing at a slower pace. The outlook for the next quarter remains positive but cautious.
AI-driven credit, underwriting & collections to be banking disruptors
On overall credit expansion, the survey said lenders are positive and anticipate continued momentum in non-food credit. The survey, which covered 24 banks across segments, was released on Sunday.
India's banking sector resilient; 11-13% credit growth for January-June likely: Survey
Indian banks anticipate robust non-food credit growth of 11-13% from January-June 2026, driven by improving balance sheets and steady economic activity. Retail and SME segments are expected to lead this expansion, while industrial credit will see a more measured recovery. Most bankers foresee a stable monetary policy stance.

Below-normal monsoon and West Asia conflict cloud India's agriculture outlook: BoB
India's agriculture faces a challenging year. A below-normal monsoon forecast and the West Asian conflict threaten crop production and rural economic growth. The India Meteorological Department predicts rainfall at 92 percent of the Long Period Average, the lowest initial forecast in 25 years. Disruptions in gas supply also affect fertilizer and pesticide availability.

Wipro CEO Srini Pallia says market is highly competitive, highlights firm's robust pipeline, AI adoption
Wipro's CEO Srini Pallia remains confident about the company's strong project pipeline. He indicates that ongoing global trade disruptions and tariff changes are not significantly impacting Wipro's business. While some specific client issues were noted in the American market, Pallia believes these will be managed. The company is focusing on leveraging AI for new projects and client solutions.

'Weak and lacklustre': Why Jefferies is disappointed with Wipro earnings as ADRs fall nearly 3%
Wipro’s March quarter results missed expectations, with weak revenue growth, declining profit, and soft guidance. Jefferies highlighted slowing deal momentum, weakness in BFSI and healthcare, and client-specific declines, raising concerns over near-term growth despite stable margins and a buyback announcement.

Nifty's roadmap to 24,800: Rahul Sharma of JM Financial explains why he’s buying the dip
Rahul Sharma of JM Financial remains bullish on Nifty, advising investors to “buy the dip” with 24,800 as the next key resistance. He believes support around 24,100–23,700 remains intact, backed by strong sector leadership in PSU, metals, and IT, with PSU banks likely to drive the next leg higher.

Indian fund outperforming 98% of peers bets on defense stocks
A $3 billion fund at Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Co. is backing Indian defense stocks, wagering that geopolitical tensions will boost local arms production and support the government’s efforts to lower reliance on imports.

ETMarkets Smart Talk | FY27 volatility a phase of adjustment, not a trend reversal; India’s growth story intact: Rajesh Iyer
FY27 begins with market volatility due to geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices, but experts see it as an adjustment phase. India's strong structural growth, supported by domestic consumption and public capex, offers constructive medium- to long-term prospects with stock-specific opportunities.

IT stocks to rally on Wednesday? Infosys, Wipro ADRs surge up to 5%. Here's why
IT stocks may rally on Wednesday as Infosys and Wipro ADRs surged overnight, supported by strong gains in US tech stocks and easing fears of AI-driven disruption. Optimism over renewed Iran-US peace talks and falling crude prices softened macro concerns, boosting sentiment for Indian IT companies heavily exposed to the US market.

Anthropic's new Claude Mythos model: A new threat in the waiting for Indian IT stocks?
Indian IT stocks may face fresh turbulence as Anthropic’s preview model, Mythos, raises disruption risks. Analysts warn its sharp gains in software engineering tasks mark a “step-jump,” not incremental progress, potentially pressuring valuations. Kotak says the leap could have meaningful implications for IT services firms, narrowing adaptation time and intensifying concerns over near-to-medium term demand, pricing power, and margins.

TCS deal wins signal stability despite AI concerns: Sandip Agarwal
TCS's robust $12 billion Total Contract Value signals stability amidst AI disruption fears, indicating intact client spending. Analysts project 5-6% dollar growth and 16-17% rupee earnings CAGR, suggesting potential stock rerating. IT firms' system integrator role remains a strong moat, though AI may alter cost-sharing dynamics.

Wipro, Infosys ADRs fall over 2% after TCS reports Q4 results. What to expect on Friday?
ADRs of Wipro and Infosys declined after Tata Consultancy Services reported steady Q4 results with strong deal wins and rising AI revenue. Despite stable performance, investor reaction signals cautious sentiment and a muted market opening for IT stocks.

TCS going all-in on AI as $2.3 billion revenue takes shape. 5 takeaways from Q4 results
Tata Consultancy Services signalled a decisive shift by positioning AI as a core growth engine rather than an experimental bet. With annualised AI revenue crossing $2.3 billion, strong deal wins, expanding margins and a rapidly upskilled workforce, the company underscored that enterprise AI adoption is now driving meaningful business momentum.

Cautious FY27 outlook for IT sector amid macro headwinds and AI transition: Sumeet Jain
Indian IT firms face a period of measured growth in FY27. Global economic uncertainty and geopolitical risks are key challenges. While AI presents opportunities, its impact on revenue is not yet significant. Mid-cap IT companies show promise. According to Sumeet Jain of CLSA India, the sector's near-term outlook depends more on macro stability than AI shifts.

After a 24% crash, IT stocks are rising again. With FII selling slowing, is this the bottom?
India's IT sector shows a strong rebound, with the Nifty IT index climbing 8% in April as foreign investors significantly reduced their selling. Valuations are attractive, with many IT stocks trading below historical averages and holding substantial cash. While some strategists see a bottom, others remain cautious about future growth and AI's impact.
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