GLOBAL ECONOMIC RISKS
War and AI force India Inc to rethink huge office deals
Large office leasing deals in India are experiencing extended closing times as companies adopt a cautious approach to expansion amid geopolitical uncertainty and AI-led workforce disruption. While demand for quality office space remains resilient, occupiers and investors are taking a more measured view of capital commitments, leading to longer evaluation periods.
Nirmala Sitharaman flags global risks, says PM Modi Govt ensuring supply stability amid crude, Hormuz pressures
Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said India faces risks from crude prices, Middle East tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, but Prime Minister Modi's government is ensuring there is "not a supply disruption" for households and the economy. She made the remarks at the Viksit Bharat event in Karnataka on Sunday while laying out India's economic growth story.
CEA Anantha Nageswaran says AI stock valuations definitely in a bubble
India's Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran warns that artificial intelligence stock valuations are a bubble. He believes the narrative around AI's productivity gains and impact on jobs is exaggerated. Global investors have poured billions into AI-linked companies, driving record valuations for firms like Nvidia. Concerns are rising about a potential market correction as investor positioning becomes crowded.
Quarter after quarter, year after year, India is fastest growing economy: FM Sitharaman
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said India remains the world's fastest-growing major economy and accused Congress leader Rahul Gandhi of undermining the country's achievements by repeatedly predicting crises that have not materialised.
Silver prices crash nearly 50% in 5 months. Is it still worth investing?
A similar trend has been reflected in India’s MCX futures market, where silver prices tumbled from a record ₹4.28 lakh per kg to around ₹2.39 lakh. This steep fall has unsettled investors, raising concerns about whether the rally was driven by speculative excesses and whether further downside risks remain.
ETMarkets Smart Talk | RBI's FPI reforms and index inclusion could unlock up to $25 billion in debt inflows: Dhawal Dalal of Edelweiss MF
In an interaction with Kshitij Anand of ETMarkets, Dhawal Dalal, President & CIO – Fixed Income at Edelweiss Mutual Fund, said the combination of regulatory easing and potential inclusion in widely tracked global bond indices could bring up to $20–25 billion in incremental debt inflows over the next 12–24 months.
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Bitcoin holds near $64,000 as falling oil prices and US-Iran peace hopes lift risk sentiment
Bitcoin hovered near $64,000, buoyed by falling oil prices and optimism for a US-Iran peace deal, which lifted overall risk sentiment. While Bitcoin saw a slight gain, Ethereum experienced a minor dip. Major altcoins showed mixed performance, with some falling and others rising.
Global space leaders to gather in Delhi next week for India Space Congress
New Delhi will host the India Space Congress 2026 from June 15 to June 17. Policymakers, diplomats, and industry leaders from over 25 countries will attend. The event will focus on India's ambition to build a USD 44 billion space economy by 2033. Discussions will cover technology, policy, and investment.
"Influential actor": Finnish President lauds India's global role during talks with EAM Jaishankar
Finnish President Alexander Stubb met with India's External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar. They discussed global conflicts and the upcoming G7 summit. Stubb called India an influential actor whose views are important. Both leaders stressed diplomacy's role in an uncertain world. India and Finland will advance their partnership in digitalization and sustainability.
Is India's economic growth real? Raghuram Rajan says something is off
Former RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan questions India's strong economic growth figures, citing weak corporate investment and declining foreign capital inflows. He argues these factors are difficult to reconcile with official data, suggesting a disconnect between headline numbers and business behavior. Rajan also highlights the lack of a clear economic roadmap and warns of vulnerabilities from the Middle East conflict.
ETMarkets Smart Talk| RBI's rate-cut cycle may be over; bond index inclusion could bring $25 billion: DSP MF's Sandeep Yadav
Sandeep Yadav of DSP Mutual Fund believes the RBI's rate-cut cycle may be nearing its end as inflation risks remain elevated. He expects India's inclusion in global bond indices to attract over $25 billion in debt inflows over time, while cautioning that such flows may offer only temporary support to the rupee.
Why are oil, gold and silver prices down today, and will Brent futures, US WTI crude and precious metals prices continue to drop or rise again? Market reacts to Iran peace deal hopes and rate concerns
Why are oil, gold and silver prices down today, and will Brent futures, US WTI crude and precious metals prices continue to drop or rise again? Oil, gold and silver prices moved lower after reports that the United States and Iran could reach a peace agreement. Brent futures and US WTI crude declined as fears of supply disruption eased. Gold and silver also fell due to inflation concerns and expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve may keep interest rates higher for longer.
India's strong growth keeps state finances stable despite deficits, rising debt: S&P
India's robust economic expansion is shielding state finances from worsening. Despite ongoing spending needs and revenue gaps, strong growth is boosting revenues. This expansion is expected to keep credit risks manageable. State governments are crucial for development, handling significant public expenditure.
Why the G7 is worried about global economic imbalances
In a pivotal discussion at the G7 summit, France is highlighting urgent concerns about the global economic landscape. China's robust exports contrast sharply with the U.S.'s mounting deficits, while Europe's investments appear to be lagging. These inconsistencies pose risks for escalating trade disputes and financial unrest.
'Not an era of war': EAM Jaishankar calls for dialogue & diplomacy as global conflicts escalate
India's Foreign Minister S Jaishankar met with Bulgarian leaders. He stressed dialogue and diplomacy to resolve global conflicts. He highlighted the need for resilient supply chains and safe maritime trade. India also raised concerns about energy, food, and fertilizer security. Both nations agreed on zero tolerance for terrorism.
World markets walk a tightrope between AI stocks and oil shocks
Global markets are on a knife edge, facing a potential AI boom or oil shocks from the U.S.-Iran conflict. Investors are navigating volatile conditions, with correlations between tech, interest rates, and oil creating uncertainty. The outlook hinges on the Strait of Hormuz reopening, with stagflation risks looming if oil prices remain elevated.
AI risks are here, time for tough rules: Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei
As artificial intelligence grows more powerful, governments must move beyond transparency measures and introduce stronger regulations to address emerging risks, according to Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei.
Sweet pills: How pharma stocks delivered bumper returns to Indian investors, defying 2026 whiplash
Indian pharma stocks are outperforming the market, offering strong returns to investors. This resilience is driven by robust domestic demand and positive global healthcare trends. Analysts see long-term growth potential from aging populations and innovation. Emerging opportunities from supply chain diversification away from China also present a positive outlook for Indian pharmaceutical companies.
Bitcoin trades 50% below all time high, below $62,000 as geopolitical uncertainty weighs on crypto sentiment
Bitcoin is trading near $61,000, down significantly from its peak. Geopolitical tensions and upcoming US economic data are causing caution. Investors are prioritizing capital preservation amid uncertainty. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen outflows, impacting market participation. Analysts watch for inflation data to gauge Bitcoin's next move.
AI anxiety, increased benefit costs, inadequate cyber threat literacy among India's top workplace challenges: Report
A new report reveals that increased health costs, AI adoption barriers, regulatory shifts, and poor cyber threat literacy are top HR and risk concerns. Driven by AI and talent shortages, organizations face workforce vulnerabilities impacting resilience. India specifically highlights AI mindset barriers and inadequate cyber literacy as key people risks.
Will India's AI multibaggers face a reality check as global bubble fears test valuations?
India's AI stocks are facing scrutiny as global concerns about a tech bubble grow. Companies linked to data centers and high-performance computing have seen major gains. Experts question if earnings can justify current valuations. Investors are now focusing on the sustainability of these high stock prices. The AI opportunity remains strong, but careful stock selection and valuation discipline are crucial.
Stock pickers’ market ahead as RBI flags risks; largecaps, banks and capex plays offer value: George Heber Joseph
George Heber Joseph of ASK Investment Managers believes Indian markets have entered a stock pickers’ phase as RBI flags inflation and growth risks. He favours largecaps, banks, healthcare and capex-linked sectors, while cautioning against expensive smallcaps. With geopolitical tensions and rising energy prices weighing on sentiment, selective investing remains key.
Very short window for India amid China supply-chain shift, says CEA V Anantha Nageswaran
China's policies are hindering global supply-chain diversification. India faces a brief opportunity to attract relocating businesses. A proactive policy is crucial to capitalize on shifting geopolitical and economic landscapes. The nation's economy shows resilience but faces risks from inflation and trade deficits. Strategic reforms are vital for long-term economic strength.
India can win in AI deployment despite lagging in advanced chips: Neelkanth Mishra
India can create significant economic value by deploying artificial intelligence to solve real-world problems in healthcare, education, and banking. While behind in AI and chip manufacturing, the nation is making progress. Future plans aim for advanced chip production. Investment in research and deep technology is crucial for growth.
India to account for half of global oil demand growth over next decade: Rosneft CEO
Rosneft CEO Igor Sechin stated India will drive nearly half of global oil demand growth over the next decade, projecting consumption to reach eight million barrels per day by 2035. He highlighted Russian oil supplies' economic benefits to India and China, exceeding $40 billion since April 2022, and warned of food price hikes due to potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions.
Russia's oil major says US companies benefit from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz
Rosneft CEO Igor Sechin stated that American energy companies are benefiting most from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. He believes the United States is altering global energy markets to serve its own interests. Sechin also noted that the OPEC+ group has weakened due to member withdrawals. He warned that other vital global shipping routes could face similar disruptions.
RBI worries higher energy costs could fuel inflation, slow growth
RBI MPC Meeting 2026 Crude Oil Price Impact on Inflation: India's headline inflation may rise by 36 basis points due to higher petrol and diesel prices. The Reserve Bank of India warns that elevated energy costs and supply disruptions will impact economic activity. Global factors are also contributing to broader inflationary pressures. The central bank has maintained its key repo rate and policy stance.
RBI MPC highlights: Top decisions announced by Governor Sanjay Malhotra & Co
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Highlights: Reserve Bank Governor Sanjay Malhotra announced the Monetary Policy Committee's (MPC) decision, with repo rate remaining unchanged at 5.25%. At its previous policy review in April, the RBI had kept rates unchanged, choosing to closely monitor the evolving geopolitical situation and its potential impact on energy prices, inflation and economic activity.
RBI MPC Meeting at a Glance: Your one-stop guide for all key decisions
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Highlights: Reserve Bank Governor Sanjay Malhotra will announce the Monetary Policy Committee's decision on Friday. The key policy rate is expected to remain unchanged at 5.25%. This pause reflects a cautious approach amid the West Asia conflict. The conflict poses risks to inflation and economic growth. The committee began its meeting on Wednesday. Retail inflation has moderated to 3.48%.
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