FINANCIAL MARKETS
MDBs to deepen collaboration to support nations amid heightened global uncertainty
Global development banks are joining forces to help countries navigate economic challenges. They are combining resources and knowledge to manage immediate pressures and build future resilience. The banks are ready to provide timely support to manage risks and protect vulnerable populations. Collaboration will focus on private sector growth, job creation, and sustainable development.
So what is the real oil price right now?
The Iran crisis highlights the complex reality of oil pricing, differentiating between physical and financial markets. While financial markets anticipate future resolutions, physical markets reflect immediate scarcity and soaring costs due to disrupted shipping and increased freight expenses, leading to significant price disparities globally.
Oil prices well below $100 as Strait of Hormuz reopens but experts aren’t convinced just yet. Here’s why
Global markets are breathing easier as Iran declares the Strait of Hormuz fully open, a crucial oil route, amid a potential U.S.-Iran deal. This development, coupled with a Lebanon-Israel ceasefire, has sent oil prices plummeting. While experts see a temporary reprieve, concerns linger over Iran's nuclear program and sanctions, suggesting oil prices may remain elevated.
Sebi clears NSE’s investment in proposed National Coal Exchange; move to formalise coal trading
Securities and Exchange Board of India approved National Stock Exchange of India investment in a coal exchange to enable transparent trading while revising intermediary norms removing automatic disqualification from complaints but tightening rules upon conviction and mandating timely disclosures
The invisible hand pushing for peace?
Amidst rising hopes for peace in the Persian Gulf, financial markets exhibit a newfound optimism. Falling crude oil prices signal a shift, with speculations of renewed negotiations between the US and Iran gaining traction. Stock markets are bouncing back, reflecting these positive sentiments.
Bank of England says it is testing AI risks to financial system
The Bank of England is actively assessing artificial intelligence risks to the financial system. They are conducting simulations and working with global partners to understand AI's impact on trading. This proactive approach aims to address potential market stress. Meanwhile, the Treasury Committee urges faster action on regulating critical AI and cloud firms.
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Quote of the day by Mark Mobius: 'The safe time to invest is when there is...' - investing advice by the 'Indiana Jones of Emerging Markets' that could make you rich during market crashes and why panic creates big opportunities for investors
Quote of the day by Mark Mobius: The renowned investor, believed "blood in the streets" signifies the safest time to invest, advocating for a contrarian approach during market crises. His philosophy emphasizes patience, research, and a long-term perspective to identify undervalued assets amidst widespread fear and panic, turning market downturns into opportunities.

Quote of the day by Paul Tudor Jones: "The most important rule of trading is to play great defence, not great offence."
Seasoned traders prioritize survival and consistency over aggressive bets, a principle championed by Paul Tudor Jones. This defensive mindset focuses on capital preservation and risk management, ensuring traders can endure losses and capitalize on opportunities over time. Avoiding strikeouts, not hitting home runs, is the key to long-term success in volatile markets.

Nifty's roadmap to 24,800: Rahul Sharma of JM Financial explains why he’s buying the dip
Rahul Sharma of JM Financial remains bullish on Nifty, advising investors to “buy the dip” with 24,800 as the next key resistance. He believes support around 24,100–23,700 remains intact, backed by strong sector leadership in PSU, metals, and IT, with PSU banks likely to drive the next leg higher.

Earnings may drop but opportunity bigger; Vikas Khemani makes bullish call on India markets
Indian markets are rallying after a sell-off. Vikas Khemani of Carnelian Asset Management believes India's investment case remains strong. He sees short-term earnings disruptions as opportunities. Khemani has increased exposure to banking, financial services, and aviation. He also believes the narrative around Indian IT is exaggerated, with AI presenting new opportunities.

ETMarkets AIF Talk| Performing credit emerges as core portfolio allocation for investors: Amit Dharod
India’s private credit market is emerging as a key part of alternative investments, supported by structural changes in lending and rising demand for stable returns. Once a niche, performing credit is becoming a core allocation, driven by a funding gap in mid-market firms and the flexibility of AIFs to provide customised financing.

Indian bonds retreat after previous rally; focus on debt sale, US-Iran peace talks
Indian bonds eased after recent gains as upcoming debt auctions and evolving US-Iran peace talks kept investors cautious, leading to a rise in yields.

Sebi, DoT join forces to curb market frauds via real-time data sharing platform
Securities and Exchange Board of India and Department of Telecommunications signed an MoU to share real-time intelligence via Digital Intelligence Platform, enhancing fraud detection, telecom monitoring, and investor protection across India’s rapidly growing digital securities market ecosystem.

Global finance ministers warn of prolonged market impact from Middle East conflict
Global finance ministers warn the Middle East conflict will continue to impact growth and inflation. Even a lasting peace will not immediately erase these effects. Renewed fighting or disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz pose serious risks. Ministers pledge fiscally responsible domestic responses and urge all nations to avoid protectionist trade barriers.

Quote of the day by David Tepper: "I am the animal at the head of the pack. I either get eaten, or I get the good grass."
David Tepper's 'animal at the head of the pack' philosophy highlights the survival-driven mindset needed in finance. It emphasises bold, opportunistic bets during market stress, focusing on contrarian thinking, risk acceptance, and decisive action to seize opportunities rather than succumbing to fear.

Share buybacks this month: Wipro, Aurobindo Pharma, 2 other stocks to watch out for
Four companies—Wipro, Cyient, Windlas Biotech, and Aurobindo Pharma—are set to announce or act on share buybacks this month, with Aurobindo’s record date due soon. Buybacks involve companies repurchasing shares to boost value, use surplus cash, or strengthen ownership. Meanwhile, new rules under the Finance Bill 2026 impose a 12% surcharge on buyback-related capital gains for promoters, while other investors remain taxed as per existing norms.

Eternal vs Swiggy: Quick commerce giants crash up to 32% in 2026 so far. Should you buy now?
Shares of Eternal and Swiggy have fallen sharply in 2026 so far, down about 17% and 32%, amid inflation concerns, potential AI-led job losses, and fears of weaker discretionary spending. While analysts are weighing the risk-reward between the two, Eternal has shown some near-term recovery and strong long-term performance, delivering significant gains over the past three years.

SIPs one of the most effective ways to ride out uncertainty: DSP’s Aditi Kothari Desai
Aditi Kothari Desai of DSP Asset Managers is the guiding light for investors grappling with market turbulence. Emphasizing the trio of discipline, consistency, and patience, she warns against knee-jerk reactions to headlines, particularly amid geopolitical unrest. For her, Systematic Investment Plans are essential lifelines in these unpredictable times.

Global Markets | S.Korean shares log highest close since Feb on hopes of US-Iran talks
South Korean shares climbed to their highest close since February as optimism over renewed US-Iran talks boosted global risk sentiment and lifted investor confidence.

RBI holds talks with banks on ways to boost deposits
Reserve Bank of India is consulting banks on ways to attract larger and more stable deposits as household savings shift to equities and mutual funds, putting pressure on liquidity. Deposits are growing slower than loans, increasing funding costs and credit-deposit ratios.

RBI rejects banks’ request to spread out Q4 treasury losses
The RBI has declined banks’ request to stagger provisions for likely MTM losses in the March quarter. Banks had sought relief to cushion the impact of rising bond yields and a late-imposed $100 million cap on net open positions, both of which pressured treasury earnings.

IMF raises India FY27 GDP growth forecast to 6.5% even as the world stumbles through conflict
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has slightly raised India’s growth forecast for FY27 to 6.5%, up 0.1 percentage point from its January estimate, and expects growth to hold steady at the same level in FY28, even as it flags rising geopolitical risks from the war in the Middle East.

Full-service law firm Khaitan & Co opens office in GIFT City at Gandhinagar
Khaitan & Co has taken a significant leap by opening a new office in the Gujarat International Finance Tec-City, a pivotal point for financial services in India. Building on the momentum from their recent Ahmedabad office launch, this initiative marks a bold strategy to deepen their roots in Gujarat’s thriving economic landscape.

ETMarkets Smart Talk| Financials, consumer discretionary, metals to drive FY27 growth: Rahul Bhuskute
Despite a volatile start to FY27 driven by geopolitical risks, oil price swings, and rate uncertainty, the outlook for Indian equities remains positive. Rahul Bhuskute of Bharti AXA Life Insurance expects near-term volatility and range-bound markets, but sees sector-led opportunities in financials, consumer discretionary, and metals supporting growth.

Quote of the day by Carl Icahn: "In takeovers, the metaphor is war. The secret is reserves. You must have reserves stretched way out ahead."
Carl Icahn's "war chest" analogy highlights that sustained success in investing, particularly in takeovers, hinges on having ample "reserves." This principle extends to broader market investing, where liquidity and psychological resilience are crucial for navigating volatility and capitalizing on opportunities. Endurance, not just initial boldness, determines long-term victory.

Global Markets | Australian shares slide as US-Iran talks fail, risk appetite sours
Australian shares declined as collapsed U.S.-Iran peace talks and a U.S. blockade of Iranian ports soured market sentiment. The S&P/ASX 200 index saw its steepest fall since April 2, with gold stocks leading the losses. Conversely, energy stocks rose on higher crude prices, while Telix Pharmaceuticals surged on a new collaboration.

Quote of the day by Fritz Leutwiler: "A prudent investor should always keep some dry powder in reserve"
Smart investors keep cash reserves. This 'dry powder' allows quick action during market dips. It provides flexibility to buy assets at lower prices. Holding cash also offers a psychological advantage during downturns. It acts as a buffer against unexpected events. Balance is key to avoid missing gains in rising markets. This strategy emphasizes patience and adaptability for long-term success.

Global relief wave lifts Indian markets, but FIIs stay cautious
Indian equity indices surged significantly on Wednesday, with the Sensex and Nifty experiencing their strongest single-day gains in years. This rally was fueled by relief over a US-Iran ceasefire, leading to a drop in oil prices and easing inflation concerns. The market capitalization of BSE-listed companies increased by ₹16.1 lakh crore.
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