ED YARDENI
Markets look past conflict as investors bet on long-term growth: Ed Yardeni
Global equity markets are navigating uncertainty, with investor sentiment suggesting the worst of the sell-off may be over. Market participants are increasingly focused on long-term opportunities, particularly in technology, as geopolitical tensions unfold. While oil prices are expected to remain elevated, they are not seen as prohibitively high for the global economy.
Markets stay resilient even as geopolitical uncertainty lingers: Ed Yardeni
Global markets signal resilience despite Middle East geopolitical tensions and uncertain ceasefire talks. Market strategist Ed Yardeni notes that while the ground reality remains volatile, markets are looking beyond current disruptions, anticipating a resolution within months. The bond market's calm, however, raises questions about inflation and defense spending.
Why are US stock market indexes futures down today, and will Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq stay in red or turn green again? Wall Street futures, stocks to watch out for, analysts insights, market outlook. Here's what should investors do now
Why are US stock market indexes futures down today, and will Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq stay in red or turn green again? Futures fell as Iran conflict raised oil prices and reduced rate cut hopes. Investors now track inflation risks, Fed policy, and stocks to watch.
Global Market | Strait of Hormuz closure keeping oil markets on edge: Ed Yardeni
Global oil markets are on edge as geopolitical tensions disrupt the vital Strait of Hormuz. Market strategist Ed Yardeni highlights uncertainty over the strait's reopening as the primary driver of oil sentiment. He believes stability hinges on de-escalation and the diminishing threat to tanker traffic, with tangible normalcy only appearing when ships navigate safely.
Why is US stock market crashing again today? Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq in deep red as oil and silver surge while gold prices crash
US stock market crash today deepened as the Dow Jones plunged nearly 700 points, the S&P 500 dropped over 1%, and the Nasdaq slid sharply. The trigger is a sudden oil price surge above $100 per barrel, with WTI crude near $101 and Brent crude around $102. Silver prices are climbing, while gold prices slipped despite market turmoil. Investors now fear stagflation in the U.S. economy. Rising oil prices, bond yields, and geopolitical tensions are driving volatility across global markets and fueling the latest US stock market sell-off.
Oil price today: Markets shaken as oil hits $100 — stocks tumble, bonds fall: key signals for investors
Oil price today March 09 news: Oil prices above $115 shake global bond markets. Crude briefly jumped 28% to nearly $120, the biggest surge since 2022. The spike follows the escalating U.S.–Israel–Iran war and fears of disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. Investors now expect higher inflation and fewer interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank. Global bond yields are rising fast. Markets fear a new oil shock and stagflation risk.
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From Tokyo to Sydney, bonds plunge as oil breaches $115
Global bonds experienced a sharp decline on Monday. A worsening U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran propelled oil prices past $115 per barrel. This surge fueled investor concerns about inflation and future interest rate decisions. Major oil producers reduced supplies, disrupting shipping routes. Bond yields rose significantly, reflecting a shift in market sentiment.
Fresh Middle East curve ball raises risks for weary world markets
Conflict in the Middle East has moved from a fringe risk to a top worry for investors unsettled by the prospect of a power struggle in Iran and a protracted regional war, with ramifications for everything from global trade to inflation.
Decoded: The viral doomsday AI memo that roiled Wall Street
A viral 7,000-word Substack essay by Citrini Research founder James van Geelen sparked a sharp selloff on Wall Street by outlining a hypothetical 2028 “Global Intelligence Crisis.” The scenario imagines AI wiping out white-collar jobs, crushing software revenues, straining credit and housing markets, and triggering a deflationary economic cascade.
Markets resilient amid Trump tariff noise, earnings strength to drive double-digit returns in 2026: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research says global markets have grown resilient to Trump’s tariff rhetoric, focusing instead on earnings and economic strength. He expects double-digit returns in 2026, sees S&P 500 earnings hitting record levels, and forecasts US bond yields at 4.25–4.75% as the bond market pushes back against Fed rate cuts.
Markets stay calm as Venezuela shock fails to rattle global equities: Ed Yardeni
Global markets show resilience despite geopolitical events. Investors remain composed, with equities holding firm. Gold saw a safe-haven rush, while oil prices showed little reaction. Energy stocks outperformed. Experts believe the US economy and global markets are proving resilient. Emerging markets, including India, are expected to perform well this year.
Ed Yardeni expects 25 basis point Fed rate cut this week
Economist Ed Yardeni anticipates ongoing US trade tensions under President Trump, viewing tariffs as a negotiation tool. He notes the US economy's resilience with strong GDP growth despite a weak labor market. Yardeni also expects a 25 basis point Fed rate cut, with the market watching for dovish or hawkish signals.
Powell likely to play ‘Owl,’ watch data at Jackson Hole: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni anticipates Fed Chair Jerome Powell to adopt a wait-and-see approach at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Upcoming inflation and payroll data will influence the Fed's decision on rate cuts. Yardeni believes inflation is stickier than perceived. He foresees a potential market dip in August-September, followed by a year-end rally. He projects the S&P 500 to reach 6600 by year-end.
Markets betting on economic strength, not trade deals: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni suggests the stock market is optimistic about the US economy's resilience despite tariff-related uncertainty. He anticipates a potential 15% base tariff with the EU, impacting American businesses and consumers. While the US remains a favored investment, the rise of autonomous vehicles poses long-term challenges for the global auto sector, potentially reducing the need for individual car ownership.
Macroeconomic resilience leaves little room for Fed rate cut in 2025: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research suggests President Trump's criticism of Fed Chair Powell risks undermining the Fed's credibility and impacting financial markets. While Trump may aim to weaken the dollar, Yardeni believes the Fed's independence is crucial.
Tariff situation isn’t going to last for many more months as Trump can’t afford a recession: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni compares the proposed EU tax to past tariff threats. He calls it Liberation Day 2. Markets remain calm, seeing it as negotiation. A trade war hurts the global and US economies. Trump's frustration and potential tariffs on countries buying Russian oil add complexity. Markets anticipate resolution by summer. Trump's focus may shift to mid-term elections.
Gold, defence stocks still vital hedges in 2025 bull market landscape: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni suggests the U.S. may be lenient with India in trade negotiations due to its geopolitical importance as a counter to China. While some deals may emerge before the tariff deadline, comprehensive agreements are unlikely. Despite tariff concerns, inflation remains moderate, influenced by deflationary pressures from China.
Chances of US recession recede as trade deals and potential ceasefires emerge: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni observes a shift in market sentiment with easing concerns across geopolitics and trade. Potential ceasefires are on the horizon, and US recession odds are decreasing. Trade negotiations are progressing, and the focus shifts to earnings and economic resilience. Yardeni raised his S&P 500 outlook and lowered recession odds, anticipating a potential 'roaring 2020s' scenario.
India positioned as top EM winner in US trade reset: Ed Yardeni
In the current situation, we have Trump going into the room by himself and coming out every now and then and telling us that things will be okay. So, we have to kind of conclude that it is in both countries interests to come up with some accommodation and so it will be incremental but clearly, there will be some pain in the trade relationship between the United States and China.
US market seems more affected by tariff scenario; Fed likely to maintain status quo: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni from Yardeni Research analyzes the weakening US stock market, with the Magnificent Seven declining by 15% since the start of the year. Other markets like Germany, China, and India are showing resilience. He suggests that global money movements and tariff impacts could influence the Fed's potential rate cuts amidst uncertain inflation prospects.
Tariff flip-flops creating volatility; markets may start to tune out US statements & focus on fundamentals: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research highlights the instability in Washington's policies, leading to market volatility. Despite this, Germany and other European nations are prompted to boost their defence and economic stimulus. China's additional consumer stimulus might result in better global economic growth. The US economy remains resilient, but uncertainty from the trade war persists.
Global investors will continue to be overweight US but EMs like India cannot be overlooked: ED Yardeni
ED Yardeni of Yardeni Research advises not reducing exposure in the US due to its strong economy and pro-business government. While tariffs from Trump's administration are a concern, his unpredictability makes predictions difficult. India shows strong economic growth and stock market performance, making it a promising opportunity, though other emerging markets require selective investment.
Trump 2.0: Executive orders to shape US economy and global markets: ED Yardeni
We are going to have to wait a while to see what gets through and once it gets through, we will all be trying to assess the economic impact. On balance, it will be okay for the economy, but for right now it creates a lot of uncertainty.
All the money going to Tesla, otherwise US market is fine; long pause likely after next Fed rate cut: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni believes the Fed is likely to implement a final 25-basis-point rate cut, followed by an extended pause. He suggests the market overestimated the number of cuts needed, citing the resilient US economy. Yardeni downplays the Dow's recent decline, attributing it to investment flows into tech stocks like Tesla and Nvidia.
Rotation out of India into China not going to last long: ED Yardeni
ED Yardeni comments on various market factors affecting global economies. He notes the impact of Middle East conflicts on oil prices, skepticism about China's economic recovery despite short-term gains, and future US interest rate movements. Yardeni also highlights investment opportunities and market rotations between India and China, along with US stock market trends.
Not economic slowdown, semiconductor unwinding triggered by monopoly probe against Nvidia: ED Yardeni
ED Yardeni of Yardeni Research links the Nvidia-led tech selloff to a monopoly investigation rather than fears of an economic slowdown. He argues that the US economy is returning to pre-pandemic norms and anticipates strong employment figures. Yardeni also contrasts China's current economic challenges with India's potential for significant growth in the coming years.
US Economy: Is present situation similar to the 1987 slide? What will happen next?
Economist Ed Yardeni hopes that the Federal Reserve will soon slash the bank interest rates by 50 basis points and the US economy will not slip into a recession.
September rate cut likely if inflation moderates: ED Yardeni
Well, look, there is really no rush for them to lower interest rates. The economy is doing fine. The labour markets, as the Fed chair said a few times, the labour market is normalising and so he is not characterising the labour market as weakening.
Expect only two Fed rate cuts this year and that too in the second half: Ed Yardeni
Ed Yardeni believes the Fed is achieving its goals with declining inflation. He predicts two rate cuts in the second half of the year, rather than the first half, and sees no rush for further rate cuts. He has been bullish on this market since November 2022. He has been riding this bull really almost since the beginning
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