AVIATION ANALYST
Shipping data shows China trimming fuel exports, not halting
China is reducing refined fuel exports, not banning them. Shipments to countries like Malaysia and Australia continue. April export cuts are deeper than March. Hong Kong continues to receive robust fuel supplies. This comes as global fuel markets face tight supplies. China's actions are deliberate allocations, not blanket restrictions.
F&O Talk: Midcaps, smallcaps stage sharp comeback, trade above key moving averages. What's the outlook?
Domestic markets closed higher on Friday, led by consumer and metal stocks, with Nifty and Sensex posting gains. Analyst Sudeep Shah of SBI Securities shared insights on Nifty and Bank Nifty's outlook, highlighting broader market strength and key levels to watch for the upcoming week.
The jet-fuel surge is making global flight connections disappear
Travellers face more flight cancellations as airlines grapple with sky-high jet fuel costs. Carriers globally are reducing flights and parking planes. This situation impacts summer travel plans. Some airlines are already cutting routes. Experts predict further reductions if fuel prices remain high. This presents a significant challenge for the aviation industry.
How 50 days of the Iran war led to the loss of $50 billion worth of oil
Global oil markets have lost over 500 million barrels since the Iran conflict began, worth nearly $50 billion. Supply disruptions across the Gulf have tightened inventories and hit exports sharply. Despite partial ceasefire signals and Strait of Hormuz reopening, analysts expect recovery to be slow, with lasting energy market shocks.
GIFT Nifty jumps over 300 points after oil price crash. What to expect on Monday?
Indian markets are set for a strong opening as GIFT Nifty surged over 300 points tracking falling crude prices and easing tensions with support from Dow Jones Industrial Average strength and improving global risk sentiment
Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Thursday
The Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex surged over 1.6% after US–Iran talks optimism boosted sentiment, driving broad-based buying. Falling volatility, strong technical signals, and sectoral strength supported bullish momentum despite key resistance levels ahead.
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Earnings vs signals: Q4 results may matter more than they look
The March quarter earnings season arrives at an inflection point, with stable numbers masking underlying economic shifts. Escalation of the Gulf conflict introduced external shocks, with first-order impacts visible in rising input costs. Investors should focus on forward-looking signals as second-order effects are expected to unfold in Q1 FY27.
What’s happening with Brent crude and African crude prices, and why physical oil hits $150 as Europe pays record premiums amid Strait of Hormuz disruption and global supply shock fears
Brent crude and WTI oil prices are under sharp focus as physical crude for Europe has surged near $150 a barrel, based on LSEG data. This gap between futures and real oil signals a live supply crunch. The Strait of Hormuz disruption has tightened global flows. Traders are scrambling for immediate cargoes. African crude prices are also hitting fresh highs. This shows replacement demand is rising fast. Fuel shortage risks are building across Europe and Asia. Inflation pressure is returning. Energy markets are turning volatile again.
These large-caps have ‘strong buy’ & ‘buy’ recos and an upside potential of up to 25%
It is tough to think positively about the markets when all the news is about blockades, wars, and everything that can disturb the global economy. But remember this: Whatever its intensity or length, there is enough historical evidence to show that markets have a greater probability of trading at a higher level a few months after a war. And no war in the Gulf has dragged on. So, all one needs is patience – and the ability to think beyond the war.
Your smart investment playbook for FY27: What to buy, what to avoid and how to diversify after a rough FY26
FY26 left your equity portfolio bruised. As FY27 begins, here’s how to heal it.
Is Nifty's cheap-looking valuation a mirage? Why $100 oil could trap value hunters
Analysts warn India's Nifty valuations may be a mirage, with crude oil prices above $100 potentially triggering significant earnings downgrades for FY27. BofA Securities has already cut its Nifty earnings growth forecast, citing elevated oil prices and a potential slowdown in GDP growth. Elevated crude oil prices could lead to low single-digit downgrades, particularly in oil-sensitive sectors.
These large- and mid-cap stocks can give more than 25% return in 1 year, according to analysts
Over the next few trading sessions, the direction of indices like the Nifty and Sensex will be determined by news on ceasefire violations and the US-Iran talks. But what will finally decide the market’s trend will be earnings – and the biggest factor impacting earnings is the price of crude oil. So, if there is a flash about a ceasefire violation, but crude oil prices don’t react adversely, then maybe one should wait it out.
Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Friday
Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex ended lower, dragged by financial, auto, and FMCG stocks, while India VIX rose. Analysts see near-term consolidation, maintaining a positive outlook with key resistance at 24,000 and support around 23,500 levels.
India caps refinery margins after windfall export tax to cushion fuel losses
India has capped refinery margins to manage losses on domestic fuel sales. This follows a windfall tax on fuel exports. The move aims to balance record losses on petrol and diesel due to high international oil prices. Refineries will now effectively transfer excess earnings to state-run marketing companies. This adjustment impacts the pricing of diesel, aviation turbine fuel, and kerosene.
Time to increase the risk quotient? Maybe, but selectively: 5 large-caps from different sectors with upside potential of up to 28%
With Israel refusing to play ball and Iran maintaining its vice-like hold on the Strait of Hormuz, the ceasefire declared by US President Trump just a day ago already looks fragile. Little wonder, then, the market is not seeing any of the euphoria of Wednesday and is now under pressure once again. Of course, Thursday’s downmove could well be due to profit-booking after the big gains notched up yesterday. Either way, it is a time to be cautious and selective.
Ceasefire calm sparks bargain hunting in beaten-down stocks
Following a US-Iran ceasefire, bargain hunters are cautiously investing in stocks heavily impacted by the West Asia sell-off. Sectors like aviation, travel, and oil marketing companies saw sharp rebounds, though analysts debate the sustainability of this recovery. Stronger investor interest is noted in quality large-cap stocks in banking, pharmaceuticals, and FMCG, which were less directly affected by the conflict.
Oil retailers losing Rs 21 per litre on petrol and Rs 28 on diesel: Jefferies
Indian state-run oil companies are facing significant losses on fuel sales, with petrol and diesel losses reaching Rs 21 and Rs 28 per litre respectively, despite a recent excise duty cut. Surging global refining margins, driven by Middle East supply disruptions and Russian infrastructure damage, have exacerbated the situation, leading to frozen retail fuel prices.
Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Thursday
Trump’s two-week ceasefire announcement boosted Nifty and global markets, with strong gains across banking, auto, and energy sectors. Technical indicators signal continued bullish momentum, while investors remain cautious of geopolitical risks.
Rs 17L cr added! Sensex zooms 2,900 pts, Nifty closes near 24,000. Iran ceasefire among 5 key factors
Why Stock Market is Up Today: Indian stock markets experienced a significant surge on Wednesday morning, with both the Sensex and Nifty climbing over 3%. This rally, extending gains for a fifth consecutive session, was fueled by a temporary US-Iran ceasefire, a sharp decline in oil prices, and other positive market influences.
Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Wednesday
Indian markets extended gains for a fourth session, led by IT, metal and FMCG stocks, with Nifty crossing 23,100. Technical indicators signal bullish momentum and breakout above key levels, though Middle East tensions may drive volatility near resistance at 23,200 in the near term.
Asian airlines trim schedules and carry extra fuel as supplies tighten
Asian airlines are reducing flights and adding refuelling stops due to Middle East conflict-driven jet fuel shortages, impacting import-dependent nations like Vietnam and Pakistan. European carriers also face potential disruption as the Strait of Hormuz closure constrains global supply, forcing consideration of rationing and deeper flight cuts.
Will the coming earnings season(s) ring in more trouble for India Inc and investors?
When a large, diversified group with exposure across autos, IT, hotels, retail, consumer, industrials, aviation, and infrastructure starts preparing internally for cost pressure and slower demand, it is probably a signal that things will get tough. This is still an inference, but a grounded one: If a conglomerate with that breadth is belt-tightening, the risk is unlikely to be isolated to one sector. And that is something one should not ignore.
Earnings downgrade alert: How $110 crude and Iran war are threatening India Inc's double-digit dream
Escalating Iran conflict and crude oil prices surpassing $110 a barrel are jeopardizing India Inc's projected double-digit earnings growth for FY27. Analysts warn of inevitable downgrades, particularly for import-intensive and crude-related sectors, potentially delaying the anticipated recovery by at least two quarters.
India OMCs to pay discounted rates to refiners amid fuel price freeze
Indian state-owned oil companies have decided to reduce the prices they pay refineries for petrol, diesel, and other fuels. This proactive strategy targets the financial strain caused by fixed retail fuel prices. Consequently, refiners will absorb some of the increased costs stemming from the global oil market. The most significant impact will be on independent refineries.
Most difficult: Staying invested in businesses while ignoring noise called Gulf war; 19 stocks from different sectors to ‘hold’
Businesses that create long-term wealth are those where the demand runway is long, the competitive position is strong, and the management is competent. Everything else, tariffs and war included, is noise where the market is concerned. Loud noise, yes. Uncomfortable noise, certainly. But noise nonetheless. And these days, the noise level is not only high, but appears credible. To some extent, that is because of the disruption in the energy supply chains that are critical for India. But it is not the first time such noise has impacted the market – and it will not be the last. It will keep happening. Learn to live with, and manage, it.
How Iran war is reshaping global aviation
The war in Iran has disrupted air travel, impacting Middle East airlines. Western carriers like Lufthansa and British Airways are seizing this chance to add new routes. US airlines are also expanding long-haul flights. The situation presents a temporary opportunity for European airlines to capture passengers. The long-term impact remains uncertain as fuel prices rise.
Willie Walsh will have to repair IndiGo's image before driving global expansion
Willie Walsh’s appointment as CEO of IndiGo is seen as a move to drive global expansion, but he faces the immediate challenge of repairing the airline’s reputation after widespread flight cancellations and regulatory scrutiny.
Stocks in news: Tata Power, IndiGo, Maruti Suzuki, Indian Oil, Adani Green
Markets rebounded to start the new financial year, with the Nifty seeing a relief rally after a March decline. Key stocks like Tata Power, IndiGo, Maruti Suzuki, Indian Oil, and Adani Green are in focus due to operational updates and sales figures. Bharti Airtel led subscriber additions, while Adani Green achieved significant renewable energy capacity expansion.
Where aircraft go when they need a safe haven – or to die. As the Gulf war draws attention to ‘boneyards’, where does India stand?
Wars, pandemics, and airspace closures have created a lucrative, if niche, global industry: Specialised airports, called aircraft boneyards, that make money storing idle fleets – or performing their last rites. As the Gulf conflict forces airlines of the region to scale down operations, ET Prime maps this little-known ecosystem that is a safe haven for aircraft. What it costs, how it works, the crises that have filled these remote airports in the past. And, why does India – with the world’s third largest domestic aviation market and periodic airline-related crises – have nothing like it?
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